Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
13 signals across 4 markets · $45,847 tracked · resolves Oct 15, 2026
Polymarket tracks Aurora Gaming vs NIP in a Thunderpick World Championship Group A best-of-three elimination match, with markets for the match winner and Map 1 winner. Smart-money signals are split: one trader identified as a 96% winner is adding to Aurora, while a proven trader associated with $3.2M in winnings backs NIP.
Markets (4)
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A5 signals · $22,633 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP - Map 1 Winner4 signals · $14,465 tracked
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP - Map 2 Winner2 signals · $5,549 tracked
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)2 signals · $3,200 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet Aurora accumulation
Four wallets added $19,040 to Aurora alongside a 60x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with a 92% record.
$6,784Score: 6.5 - Four-wallet Aurora buying cluster
Four wallets put $4,420 on Aurora, including two with profitable long-term records, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite mixed bettor quality.
$4,420Score: 6.0 - 99% winner backing NIP
A highly profitable bettor with 399 resolved positions and a reported 99% win rate bought NIP at 57¢, below the current 67¢ odds.
$1,200Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.6 - Profitable new wallet adding to Aurora
A newly active, profitable wallet repeatedly made large bets and added $5,000 to Aurora, though the position has since fallen sharply below its entry.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.5 - 96% winner adding to Aurora
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to an existing Aurora position at 61¢.
$1,187Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.4 - 95% winner backing NIP
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and extensive cross-market history placed $7,050 on NIP at 30¢ amid a volume spike.
$7,050Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - Serial trader with 92% wins backs Aurora
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Aurora at 83¢ amid an 11.6x volume spike and a 15-point price rise.
$1,130Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.2 - Proven $3.2M winner backs NIP
A highly profitable bettor with 2,238 resolved trades is staking $5,800 on NIP at 30¢, despite Aurora being the 70% favorite.
$5,801Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial trader backs NIP
A highly profitable bettor with 741 resolved bets and a 77% win rate is taking a $2,000 position on NIP, supported by extensive cross-market activity.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 4.7 - Million-dollar bettor adds to Aurora
A highly profitable bettor with 1,916 resolved bets added to an existing Aurora position, though the market has since moved sharply against the 80¢ entry.
$1,494Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x52ecea…a6f3$7,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0x79ae09…9a4a$7,050 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xdd882a…dadb$5,801 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0xe0a47e…a81e$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$2,624 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x8adb83…e4f6$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x88db9a…54a4$1,442 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xcc1389…941d$1,240 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x487371…15ba$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x7e4d38…b4ca$1,187 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Aurora Gaming vs NIP?
The event includes separate markets for the BO3 match winner and the Map 1 winner. Check the live markets on this page for current prices, which can change as traders place bets.
What is smart money doing on Aurora Gaming vs NIP?
Recent alerts show activity on both sides: a trader labeled a 96% winner is adding to Aurora, while a proven winner associated with $3.2M in winnings backs NIP. These alerts describe trader activity, not guaranteed outcomes or necessarily the size of their positions.
Which outcomes can I trade in this event?
The event covers two outcomes markets: who wins the Aurora Gaming vs NIP best-of-three match and who wins Map 1.
When does Aurora Gaming vs NIP resolve?
The match is scheduled for October 15, 2026, at 4:30 AM ET. The markets resolve according to the match result and their listed rules; check the market details for postponement, cancellation, or tie conditions.