Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Aurora Gaming and NIP in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,465.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable new wallet adding to Aurora
A newly active, profitable wallet repeatedly made large bets and added $5,000 to Aurora, though the position has since fallen sharply below its entry.
- This 20-hour-old wallet has placed 18 flagged bets totaling $40,639 and is reported up $18,318.
- It added $5,000 to Aurora at 77¢ while already holding the same outcome.
- Aurora is now priced near 58¢, well below the trader’s entry, so the bet has moved against them.
$5,000 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
Million-dollar bettor adds to Aurora
A highly profitable bettor with 1,916 resolved bets added to an existing Aurora position, though the market has since moved sharply against the 80¢ entry.
- This bettor has won 92% of 1,916 resolved bets and is up $3.22M overall.
- They added $1,494 to an existing Aurora position at 80¢, showing continued conviction.
- Aurora is now priced at 58%, well below the 80¢ entry, so the market has moved against the bet.
$1,494 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%
Four-wallet Aurora accumulation
Four wallets added $19,040 to Aurora alongside a 60x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with a 92% record.
- Four wallets bought Aurora for a combined $19,040, alongside a 60x volume spike.
- One bettor has a 92% win rate across 1,916 resolved bets and is up $3.2M lifetime.
- All four wallets already held Aurora and added to their positions; their new buys averaged about 76¢.
$6,784 on Aurora Gaming
96% winner adding to Aurora
A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to an existing Aurora position at 61¢.
- This bettor has won 122 of 127 resolved positions and is up $47,429.
- They are adding $1,187 to an existing Aurora position at 61¢, near the current 60% odds.
- The wallet has traded across 55 events, with a reported 37-point edge over average implied odds.
$1,187 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x880b...c98b — NIP, $6,438 (75% win rate)
- 0x3634...fa83 — NIP, $4,505 (79% win rate)
- 0x7124...cc9c — NIP, $4,015 (85% win rate)
- 0xed55...566f — NIP, $3,846 (94% win rate)
- 0x074a...f0e0 — NIP, $3,659 (75% win rate)
- 0xab71...2ada — NIP, $3,304 (97% win rate)
- 0x4873...15ba — NIP, $2,147 (99% win rate)
- 0xa24e...1be8 — NIP, $1,903 (71% win rate)
- 0x8935...7daa — NIP, $1,840 (70% win rate)
- 0xdbaf...f5d1 — NIP, $1,173 (91% win rate)
Related Theses
NaVi wins in three maps
Covers 3 related markets
Spirit sweeps G2
Covers 3 related markets
Falcons win in three
Covers 3 related markets
Spain out, France or England win
Covers 3 related markets
Fed will not cut rates
Covers 2 related markets
