Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

This market refers to the Counter-Strike 3rd Place match between Aurora Gaming and Team Falcons in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $101,568.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Proven winner adding to Falcons

A highly profitable bettor with 434 resolved positions added $22.7k to an existing Team Falcons position as volume surged 64x above average.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 434 resolved positions and is up $2.1M overall.
  • They added $22.7K to an existing Team Falcons position at 58¢.
  • Market volume is running 64x above its historical average.

$22,736 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial trader adding to Falcons

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is adding a large position on Team Falcons amid a 64x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 272 resolved trades and is up $1.46M.
  • They added $27,395 to Team Falcons, bringing their position to over $74,000 invested.
  • Trading activity was 64x its historical average, adding momentum to the bettor’s conviction.

$27,395 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 73%

95% winner makes $16.3K Aurora bet

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and extensive cross-market history made a $16.3K Aurora purchase during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 375 of 395 resolved positions and earned $5.17M in profit.
  • They put $16,340 on Aurora at 43¢ as market activity surged to 48.6 times its historical average.
  • The wallet has traded across 476 events, showing a sustained track record beyond this single match.

$13,500 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%

10-wallet Falcons buying cluster

Ten wallets put $58.5K into Team Falcons amid a 42x volume spike, including several historically profitable bettors adding to existing positions.

  • Ten wallets bought Team Falcons for $58.5K, with the largest trade at $27.1K.
  • One bettor in the cluster has an 81% win rate across 403 resolved bets and is up nearly $300K.
  • Trading volume spiked to 42 times its historical average, though six wallets also bought Aurora for $17.4K.

$17,588 on Team Falcons

95% winner makes $16.3K Aurora bet

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and extensive cross-market history made a $16.3K Aurora purchase during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 375 of 395 resolved positions and earned $5.17M in profit.
  • They put $16,340 on Aurora at 43¢ as market activity surged to 48.6 times its historical average.
  • The wallet has traded across 476 events, showing a sustained track record beyond this single match.

$16,340 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%

Proven high-win-rate bettor backs Aurora

A highly profitable bettor with 2,020 resolved positions and an 88% win rate is backing Aurora at 38¢.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 2,020 resolved positions and is up nearly $3.0M.
  • They are buying Aurora at 38¢, well below the market’s 62¢ price for Falcons.
  • The wallet has traded across 587 events, showing a sustained and substantial track record.

$1,680 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%

Proven high-win-rate bettor backs Aurora

A highly profitable bettor with 2,020 resolved positions and an 88% win rate is backing Aurora at 38¢.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 2,020 resolved positions and is up nearly $3.0M.
  • They are buying Aurora at 38¢, well below the market’s 62¢ price for Falcons.
  • The wallet has traded across 587 events, showing a sustained and substantial track record.

$2,330 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe787...5034 — Team Falcons, $47,232 (73% win rate)
  2. 0x89eb...cff9 — Team Falcons, $46,894 (82% win rate)
  3. 0xf559...f462 — Team Falcons, $39,200 (92% win rate)
  4. 0x1e52...eb43 — Team Falcons, $36,767 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x52ec...a6f3 — Team Falcons, $30,731 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x7972...594f — Team Falcons, $25,862 (60% win rate)
  7. 0xe0a4...a81e — Team Falcons, $20,690 (96% win rate)
  8. 0x3746...c193 — Team Falcons, $15,164 (93% win rate)
  9. 0x9609...a48d — Team Falcons, $10,468 (86% win rate)
  10. 0x594d...059d — Team Falcons, $9,593 (85% win rate)

Related Theses

Argentina won’t win; others favored

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BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series

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Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals

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Team Spirit completes reverse sweep

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MOUZ will beat Spirit in series

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Thunder win low-scoring rout

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Thunder cover low-scoring game

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Aurora sweeps FURIA

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No Iran peace deal

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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

Aurora Gaming
100¢
Team Falcons
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike 3rd Place match between Aurora Gaming and Team Falcons in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

2026-10-18 11:25 UTC

$22,736 on Team Falcons at 58¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

2026-10-18 11:25 UTC

$27,395 on Team Falcons at 58¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

2026-10-18 11:25 UTC

$13,500 on Aurora Gaming at 43¢

43¢→100¢↑57¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

2026-10-18 14:32 UTC

$17,588 on Team Falcons at 58¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

2026-10-18 11:20 UTC

$16,340 on Aurora Gaming at 43¢

43¢→100¢↑57¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

2026-10-18 06:19 UTC

$1,680 on Aurora Gaming at 38¢

38¢→100¢↑62¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

2026-10-17 21:50 UTC

$2,330 on Aurora Gaming at 38¢

38¢→100¢↑62¢

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Argentina won’t win; others favored
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