Part of: Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $121,435.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

11-wallet BIG conviction cluster

A large coordinated BIG position, including several highly profitable bettors, stands out despite the market moving sharply against their entries.

  • 11 wallets committed $58,398 to BIG, with the market seeing a 112x volume spike and a 22-point daily move.
  • The group includes bettors with 92% and 87% win rates across hundreds of resolved markets.
  • BIG entries ranged from 56¢ to 76¢, while the current ask is around 40¢—a substantially better price but with meaningful evidence that the trade is underwater.

$58,398 on BIG

Sharp bettor adds to Spirit

A proven 88% win-rate bettor added a $9,010 Spirit position during an 85.5x volume surge, making this a strong esports signal despite the existing position.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 17 resolved bets and is up $61,242 lifetime.
  • They added $9,010 to Spirit at 63¢, increasing an existing position rather than making a routine exit.
  • The market saw an 85.5x historical volume spike, reinforcing the directional conviction.

$9,010 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner scaling into BIG

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing BIG position at 37¢.

  • This bettor has won 136 of 150 trades and is up $181,627 lifetime.
  • They are adding $4,428 to an existing BIG position at 37¢, despite the market already moving 22% higher.
  • The bettor has traded across 103 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off wager.

$4,428 on BIG | Wallet win rate: 90%

91% winner adds to Spirit

A highly experienced bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge added nearly $30,000 to an existing Spirit position despite the market moving against it.

  • This bettor has won 91% of 326 resolved trades and is up $922,150 lifetime.
  • They added nearly $30,000 to an existing Spirit position at 84%, signaling strong conviction despite Spirit later falling to 72%.
  • The wallet has traded 505 markets across 402 events, providing an unusually deep track record for this signal.

$29,774 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 92%

Nine-wallet Spirit buying cluster

Nine wallets, including several highly profitable bettors, added $81,393 to Spirit while a 1,342x volume spike drove the market toward Spirit.

  • Nine wallets committed $81,393 to Spirit, with the market moving from roughly 60% to 64%.
  • Several participating bettors have exceptional records, including 91% over 98 bets and 87% over 186 bets.
  • Most wallets already held Spirit and increased their positions, signaling stronger conviction rather than routine entry.
  • copy_action seems invalid?

$19,825 on Spirit

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 58246292, $86,572 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x30c7...ac3b Outcome 58246292, $40,000 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 58246292, $26,750 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x4f4e...9557 Outcome 58246292, $22,886 (60% win rate)
  5. 0x2418...66c8 Outcome 58246292, $20,198 (61% win rate)
  6. 0x5901...63a2 Outcome 58246292, $11,916 (90% win rate)
  7. 0x5d34...7c8c Outcome 58246292, $10,000 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x880b...c98b Outcome 58246292, $9,057 (74% win rate)
  9. 0x19ae...395c Outcome 58246292, $7,450 (49% win rate)
  10. 0x16bc...deca Outcome 58246292, $7,307 (59% win rate)

Related Theses

Argentina won’t win; others favored

Covers 7 related markets

Fed holds rates steady in September 2026

Covers 2 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring rout

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder cover low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

No Iran peace deal

Covers 3 related markets

Knicks win low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs win close defensive game

Covers 3 related markets

France wins comfortably, clean sheet

Covers 3 related markets

England wins high-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

9z wins a close series

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

ResolvedCounter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A$121,435 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between BIG and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against BIG. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 15, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Spirit
102¢
74¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

8d ago

$58,398 on BIG at 40¢

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

8d ago

$9,010 on Spirit at 63¢

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

8d ago

$4,428 on BIG at 37¢

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

8d ago

$29,774 on Spirit at 84¢

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

8d ago

$19,825 on Spirit at 60¢

Related Theses