Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between FURIA and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,498.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Nine-wallet FURIA flow with proven sharp bettors

Nine wallets bought $73.9K of FURIA, including a proven bettor with a 95% win rate across 389 resolved positions and a 49-point edge over average entry odds.

  • Nine wallets put $73,906 behind FURIA, with buys clustered around 53–54¢.
  • One bettor has won 369 of 389 resolved positions (95%) and is up over $5M, with average odds of 46%.
  • The trades coincide with a 42× volume spike, adding evidence of concentrated conviction.

$23,498 on FURIA

Profitable serial trader adding to Aurora

A consistently profitable bettor with 430 resolved trades added $1,000 to an existing Aurora position at 48¢.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 430 resolved trades and is up $85,910.
  • They added another $1,000 to an existing Aurora position, bringing their investment to $3,083.
  • The new entry was 48¢, close to the current 47¢ price.

$1,000 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial trader adding to FURIA

A profitable bettor with an 80% win rate is adding $5,000 to an existing FURIA position at 53¢.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 265 resolved bets and is up $128,074 lifetime.
  • They added $5,000 to an existing FURIA position at 53¢, bringing their total investment to over $14,000.
  • The bettor has traded across 155 events, showing a sustained cross-market record rather than a one-off bet.

$5,000 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 80%

92% winner adds to Aurora

A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate is adding $25,000 to Aurora at 48¢, building on an existing position.

  • This bettor has won 398 of 434 resolved positions and is up $2.13M.
  • They added $25,000 to Aurora at 48¢, on top of an existing $52,083 position.
  • The entry is near the current 48% odds, with a strong long-term record behind the bet.

$25,000 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcc77...c035 — Aurora Gaming, $80,000 (74% win rate)
  2. 0xf559...f462 — Aurora Gaming, $52,083 (92% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 — Aurora Gaming, $34,788 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x7767...4fb2 — Aurora Gaming, $17,645 (90% win rate)
  5. 0x1648...e4cf — Aurora Gaming, $8,000 (90% win rate)
  6. 0x8adb...e4f6 — Aurora Gaming, $7,525 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x9734...bb94 — Aurora Gaming, $5,357 (41% win rate)
  8. 0xdd88...dadb — Aurora Gaming, $5,001 (77% win rate)
  9. 0x8f69...7df1 — Aurora Gaming, $5,000 (69% win rate)
  10. 0xf305...655a — Aurora Gaming, $5,000 (100% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

FURIA
100¢
Aurora Gaming
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between FURIA and Aurora Gaming in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

2026-10-17 14:59 UTC

$23,498 on FURIA at 54¢

54¢→100¢↑46¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

2026-10-17 12:38 UTC

$1,000 on Aurora Gaming at 48¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

2026-10-17 12:27 UTC

$5,000 on FURIA at 53¢

53¢→100¢↑47¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

2026-10-17 12:20 UTC

$25,000 on Aurora Gaming at 48¢

Related Theses