Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between FURIA and Spirit in Round 3 of the PGL Astana Group Stage, scheduled for May 11 at 10:00AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $3,479 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including alerts from a 93% win-rate esports bettor and a profitable serial sports trader.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between FURIA and Spirit in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,479.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Serial cross-market esports/sports trader with a profitable 540-bet history made a large Spirit buy that dominated a quiet market's daily volume.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 540 resolved bets, 61% wins, and about $71.9K profit.
  • Their $2.0K Spirit buy was nearly 64% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
  • They have traded across 29 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting approach rather than a one-off bet.

$1,979 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 61%

93% win-rate esports bettor

Sharp esports bettor with a 93% historical win rate is making a meaningful Spirit buy in a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved positions and is up $16.3K on $39.3K invested.
  • They bought $1.5K of Spirit in a quiet market with only about $3.1K traded in the last 24 hours.
  • Entry at 57¢ suggests they see Spirit as underpriced versus the current 56% market odds.

$1,500 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x29b5...cc6c Spirit, $3,565 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x4b59...3aa6 Spirit, $3,471 (61% win rate)
  3. 0x689c...6b1e Spirit, $3,073 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x83b3...b3a2 FURIA, $3,000 (80% win rate)
  5. 0x4379...2e16 FURIA, $2,870 (80% win rate)
  6. 0xa019...f444 Spirit, $2,632 (93% win rate)
  7. 0x5e6e...be00 FURIA, $1,382 (51% win rate)
  8. 0x9c27...cb5b FURIA, $1,170
  9. 0x7951...bb41 FURIA, $1,015 (57% win rate)
  10. 0xf5d9...9e0e FURIA, $1,000 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

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LYON beat Team Liquid

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Spirit beats FURIA in BO3

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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

20hCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$3,479 tracked2 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
FURIA
41¢
Spirit
60¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between FURIA and Spirit in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Spirit
61¢
58¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$1,979 on Spirit at 57¢

57¢60¢3¢

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

4h ago

$1,500 on Spirit at 57¢

57¢60¢3¢

Related Theses