Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket market covers the Map 2 winner between FURIA and Spirit in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 3 match at the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to FURIA if FURIA win Map 2, or Spirit if Spirit win Map 2; if Map 2 is not completed, the market may not resolve based on a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $4,138 in smart money across 3 signals, including sharp activity around FURIA and notable esports trader alerts.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between FURIA and Spirit in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win Map 2 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against FURIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,579.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% winner fades favorite
Elite 92% lifetime winner made a contrarian binary sell, converting to a Spirit buy, though the market has since moved fully to FURIA.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.28M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.6M tracked across 317 events.
- Selling FURIA at 88¢ is equivalent to buying Spirit at 12¢, a high-upside contrarian position.
$1,378 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% win-rate esports sharp
Elite 92% win-rate wallet with $2.28M lifetime profit bought FURIA despite the position moving against entry afterward.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.28M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 316 events with over $3.5M in tracked event flow.
- Bought FURIA at 74¢ during a fast 16.5-point move, though the market has since fallen to 56¢.
$1,655 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 92%
Proven trader fades spike
A profitable high-volume esports/cross-market bettor sold FURIA into a rapid price spike, effectively buying Spirit at 21¢ before FURIA quickly fell back.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,792 resolved bets and is up about $64k lifetime.
- They sold FURIA at 79¢ during a fast spike, which is equivalent to buying Spirit at 21¢.
- FURIA has since dropped to 56¢, suggesting this was a well-timed fade of the move.
$1,105 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 73%
91% sharp esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with a 91% win rate and strong cross-market history bought FURIA at 65% before the price moved to 82%.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $64.6K lifetime.
- They have a strong cross-market record across 31 events, with 197 wins from 217 resolved positions.
- Bought FURIA at 65¢ before the market moved to 82¢, suggesting the trade is already being validated.
$1,496 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought FURIA at 65¢ before the market moved sharply to 82¢, suggesting a well-timed read despite only moderate alert strength.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,639 resolved bets and $158,607 in lifetime profit.
- They bought FURIA at 65¢, and the market has since moved to 82¢.
- This wallet regularly trades across related markets, with activity in 91 events and $213,692 total flagged volume.
$1,379 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 57%
Sharp bettor fades spike
Sharp bettor with an 83% historical win rate appears to be taking profit on a large FURIA position after a major price spike, making the copyable direction the equivalent BUY Spirit at 11¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $176k lifetime.
- They sold FURIA after buying around 49¢ and the market spiking as high as 89¢.
- Selling FURIA at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Spirit at 11¢, a contrarian fade after a fast move.
$2,120 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought FURIA at 53¢ before a rapid move to 88¢, suggesting well-timed conviction despite modest size.
- This bettor is up $124,787 lifetime with a 62% record across 78 resolved bets.
- They bought FURIA at 53¢ before the market surged to 88¢ within minutes.
- This wallet has traded 38 markets across 25 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market approach.
$1,235 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 61%
Sharp CS cluster buying FURIA
Strong one-sided FURIA buying from four profitable/serial wallets, including an 83% winner, drove a sharp pre-event move from about 49¢ to 70¢.
- A bettor who wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $176k led the move into FURIA.
- Four wallets bought $15.5k of the same side, pushing FURIA from about 49¢ to 70¢ in minutes.
- Two wallets are experienced cross-market sports traders, with over $1.1M combined historical volume.
$15,473 on FURIA
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought FURIA amid an 83x volume spike and rapid 16.5-point price move.
- This bettor has traded 131 markets across 107 events and is up $53.9k lifetime.
- FURIA’s price jumped 16.5 points in about 4 minutes around this move.
- Volume spiked 83x before the match window, suggesting broader momentum behind the bet.
$4,951 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 58%
Proven esports sharp buying FURIA
Sharp esports bettor with an 83% historical win rate and +$176k P&L bought $6.8k of FURIA despite the price slipping afterward.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $176k lifetime.
- They put $6.8k on FURIA at 49¢, a meaningful size for this market.
- The market has drifted to 46¢, offering a cheaper entry than the bettor got.
$6,786 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x5e04...08a2 — FURIA, $46,000
- 0x3af1...d739 — Spirit, $21,778 (42% win rate)
- 0x4713...4d21 — Spirit, $10,550 (44% win rate)
- 0xa69d...509b — FURIA, $10,291 (58% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Spirit, $10,110 (63% win rate)
- 0xfc0c...cfc9 — Spirit, $9,812 (58% win rate)
- 0x4965...02bc — FURIA, $7,254
- 0x880b...c98b — FURIA, $6,582 (61% win rate)
- 0xdf80...3259 — FURIA, $6,512 (87% win rate)
- 0xd735...968e — Spirit, $6,035 (51% win rate)
