Part of: Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between Gentle Mates and magic in the Counter-Strike 2 PGL Astana Group Stage Round 5 match. The market resolves to the team that wins Map 1, with resolution scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 09:00 UTC; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,725 in smart money and 1 signal on this market.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Gentle Mates and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win Map 1 against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Gentle Mates. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,876.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports trader
A very high-volume profitable esports trader bought magic at 87¢ before an 11-point move to 100¢, though the trade is already largely played out.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 27,881 resolved bets and $2.29M in lifetime profit.
- They bought magic at 87¢ before the price quickly moved 11 points to 100¢.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader, active across 1,704 markets with nearly $10M flagged in similar event activity.
$1,725 on magic | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable esports whale
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market bettor bought magic before a 22-point price move, making this a credible momentum/copy-trade signal despite the modest trade size.
- This bettor is up $2.29M lifetime across more than $180M traded.
- They have traded 1,704 markets across 1,448 events, showing deep cross-market experience.
- Bought magic at 89¢ before it moved to 92¢, alongside a 22-point price jump.
$1,340 on magic | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable esports power bettor
A massively experienced and profitable serial cross-market trader bought magic at 83% alongside a pre-event volume spike and price move to 86%.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 27,855 resolved bets and $2.29M in lifetime profit.
- They bought magic at 83¢ before the price moved to 86¢, showing immediate confirmation.
- The market saw a 15.4x pre-event volume spike, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.
$1,826 on magic | Wallet win rate: 55%
92% win-rate sharp
Surface because this is a highly profitable sharp bettor with a 92% record and extensive cross-market history buying Gentle Mates despite the market moving against them.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $463k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 190 events with a 92% hit rate.
- Entry at 29¢ implies they saw Gentle Mates as mispriced, even though the market has since fallen to 20¢.
$2,000 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable esports serial bettor
Surface because this is a profitable 75% win-rate serial cross-market bettor making a sizable Counter-Strike position, despite the market currently trading below their entry.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $54.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events, with $152.7K tracked volume.
- The $4.9K buy was over half of recent market volume, showing strong conviction on a relatively quiet market.
$4,900 on magic | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial esports trader
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved sample bought Gentle Mates at 54¢, though the alert is weaker than cluster or high-win-rate signals.
- This bettor is up $70,879 across 266 resolved trades.
- They are a frequent cross-market trader, with activity across 59 events and $286,004 in tracked cross-market volume.
- Entry at 54¢ suggests they see Gentle Mates as modestly mispriced in a near-even market.
$1,085 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0x98fc...6e31 — Gentle Mates, $30,792 (64% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — magic, $26,969 (55% win rate)
- 0xa1e4...4f8a — Gentle Mates, $13,952 (92% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Gentle Mates, $9,000 (65% win rate)
- 0x6fc4...c89d — magic, $7,086 (100% win rate)
- 0x7a78...add7 — magic, $6,032 (49% win rate)
- 0x72aa...90e0 — magic, $6,020 (51% win rate)
- 0x3bae...885a — Gentle Mates, $5,681 (58% win rate)
- 0x13f0...a50f — magic, $5,611 (100% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — magic, $3,851 (51% win rate)
