Part of: Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner

This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between Gentle Mates and magic in the Counter-Strike 2 PGL Astana Group Stage Round 5 match. The market resolves to the team that wins Map 1, with resolution scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 09:00 UTC; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,725 in smart money and 1 signal on this market.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Gentle Mates and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win Map 1 against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Gentle Mates. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,876.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports trader

A very high-volume profitable esports trader bought magic at 87¢ before an 11-point move to 100¢, though the trade is already largely played out.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 27,881 resolved bets and $2.29M in lifetime profit.
  • They bought magic at 87¢ before the price quickly moved 11 points to 100¢.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader, active across 1,704 markets with nearly $10M flagged in similar event activity.

$1,725 on magic | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable esports whale

A highly experienced, profitable cross-market bettor bought magic before a 22-point price move, making this a credible momentum/copy-trade signal despite the modest trade size.

  • This bettor is up $2.29M lifetime across more than $180M traded.
  • They have traded 1,704 markets across 1,448 events, showing deep cross-market experience.
  • Bought magic at 89¢ before it moved to 92¢, alongside a 22-point price jump.

$1,340 on magic | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable esports power bettor

A massively experienced and profitable serial cross-market trader bought magic at 83% alongside a pre-event volume spike and price move to 86%.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 27,855 resolved bets and $2.29M in lifetime profit.
  • They bought magic at 83¢ before the price moved to 86¢, showing immediate confirmation.
  • The market saw a 15.4x pre-event volume spike, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.

$1,826 on magic | Wallet win rate: 55%

92% win-rate sharp

Surface because this is a highly profitable sharp bettor with a 92% record and extensive cross-market history buying Gentle Mates despite the market moving against them.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $463k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 190 events with a 92% hit rate.
  • Entry at 29¢ implies they saw Gentle Mates as mispriced, even though the market has since fallen to 20¢.

$2,000 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable esports serial bettor

Surface because this is a profitable 75% win-rate serial cross-market bettor making a sizable Counter-Strike position, despite the market currently trading below their entry.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $54.9K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events, with $152.7K tracked volume.
  • The $4.9K buy was over half of recent market volume, showing strong conviction on a relatively quiet market.

$4,900 on magic | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial esports trader

A profitable serial cross-market trader with a large resolved sample bought Gentle Mates at 54¢, though the alert is weaker than cluster or high-win-rate signals.

  • This bettor is up $70,879 across 266 resolved trades.
  • They are a frequent cross-market trader, with activity across 59 events and $286,004 in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Entry at 54¢ suggests they see Gentle Mates as modestly mispriced in a near-even market.

$1,085 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

  1. 0x98fc...6e31 Gentle Mates, $30,792 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea magic, $26,969 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xa1e4...4f8a Gentle Mates, $13,952 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xcf60...a6f5 Gentle Mates, $9,000 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x6fc4...c89d magic, $7,086 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x7a78...add7 magic, $6,032 (49% win rate)
  7. 0x72aa...90e0 magic, $6,020 (51% win rate)
  8. 0x3bae...885a Gentle Mates, $5,681 (58% win rate)
  9. 0x13f0...a50f magic, $5,611 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x0e1b...ecaf magic, $3,851 (51% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner

1hCounter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$12,876 tracked6 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Gentle Mates
0¢
magic
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Gentle Mates and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win Map 1 against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 1 against Gentle Mates. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “magic
102¢
73¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner

1h ago

$1,725 on magic at 87¢

87¢100¢13¢

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner

1h ago

$1,340 on magic at 89¢

89¢100¢11¢

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner

1h ago

$1,826 on magic at 83¢

83¢100¢17¢

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner

1h ago

$2,000 on Gentle Mates at 29¢

29¢0¢29¢

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner

1h ago

$4,900 on magic at 63¢

63¢100¢37¢

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 1 Winner

2h ago

$1,085 on Gentle Mates at 54¢

54¢0¢54¢

Related Theses