Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
30 signals across 3 markets · $104,702 tracked · resolves May 13, 2026
Gentle Mates vs magic is a best-of-three Counter-Strike 2 match in the PGL Astana Group Stage, with Polymarket traders pricing which team will win the series. PolySpotter is tracking $4,755 in smart money activity on this event, including a signal from a profitable serial esports bettor.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp esports cluster
High-conviction Counter-Strike cluster led by two highly profitable wallets, including one up $5.7M lifetime and another winning 99% of resolved bets.
$8,600Score: 14.6 - Serial esports trader cluster
High-score cluster with three wallets backing magic, including a serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and strong recent price impact.
$4,019Score: 13.5 - Sharp cluster on magic
Three wallets bought magic together, led by a highly profitable serial esports bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.3M lifetime P&L, alongside a sharp 75% winner.
$7,530Score: 10.1 - 93% winner backs underdog
Elite 93% win-rate wallet with $2.58M profit bought $6.8K of magic amid a large pre-event volume spike.
$6,846Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 10.1 - 92% winner buying underdog
Elite 92% winning bettor with $463k lifetime profit bought Gentle Mates at 41¢, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.
$1,671Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 9.6 - Profitable esports serial bettor
Surface because this is a profitable 75% win-rate serial cross-market bettor making a sizable Counter-Strike position, despite the market currently trading below their entry.
$4,900Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 9.3 - 92% win-rate sharp
Surface because this is a highly profitable sharp bettor with a 92% record and extensive cross-market history buying Gentle Mates despite the market moving against them.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 9.2 - Three-wallet esports steam
Three wallets bought $11.8K of magic during a 160x pre-event volume spike, led by a high-volume profitable trader.
$11,754Score: 8.8 - Elite bettor flips sides
Elite serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.3M profit bought Gentle Mates after previously closing the opposite position, despite a sharp price drop.
$1,370Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.4 - Serial winner flipped sides
Serial cross-market bettor with an 80% historical win rate flipped into magic before a sharp move from 89¢ to 100¢ amid a volume spike.
$1,779Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 8.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x54c23f…23ad$12,508 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 87% wins
- 0x0dcf5b…c556$6,846 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$6,209 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x8fbb3c…9a17$5,103 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$4,891 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 56% wins
- 0x30c7ac…ac3b$4,755 · 1 market · 1 alert · 59% wins
- 0x44c581…8d45$4,676 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x25acbc…3e47$4,666 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 81% wins
- 0x3bae3f…885a$4,469 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 54% wins
- 0xdd882a…dadb$4,330 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 75% wins
FAQs
What are the Gentle Mates vs magic Polymarket odds?
The Polymarket event prices the chance that Gentle Mates or magic wins the BO3 match. Odds move as traders buy and sell positions based on team form, map veto expectations, lineup news, and live market sentiment.
What is the smart money doing on Gentle Mates vs magic?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,755 in smart money activity across this event, including a signal tied to a profitable serial esports bettor. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it can help show where experienced esports traders are taking a position.
Is this market for one map or the full match?
This event is for the full best-of-three match between Gentle Mates and magic, not an individual map. It resolves based on which team wins the overall series.
When does Gentle Mates vs magic resolve on Polymarket?
The market is scheduled around the PGL Astana Group Stage match initially set for May 13 at 1:00 AM ET. It resolves after a match winner is determined, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated resolution rules.