Part of: Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Map 2 winner between Gentle Mates and magic in the Counter-Strike PGL Astana Group Stage Round 5 match. The market resolves to the team that wins Map 2, with resolution expected on May 13, 2026; PolySpotter currently tracks $5,798 in smart money across 2 signals, including sharp activity on magic.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Gentle Mates and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentle Mates" if Gentle Mates win Map 2 against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win Map 2 against Gentle Mates. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,759.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Serial winner flipped sides
Serial cross-market bettor with an 80% historical win rate flipped into magic before a sharp move from 89¢ to 100¢ amid a volume spike.
- This bettor has won 80% of 339 resolved trades and has handled $1.29M in volume.
- They closed a Gentle Mates position, then bought magic at 89¢ before it moved to 100¢.
- The market saw a 24x volume spike and magic jumped nearly 30 percentage points.
$1,779 on magic | Wallet win rate: 80%
Serial esports trader cluster
High-score cluster with three wallets backing magic, including a serial cross-market trader with an 80% resolved win rate and strong recent price impact.
- A serial cross-market bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 339 markets and is backing the same side here.
- Three wallets put about $4K on magic within minutes, all in the same direction.
- The move was strong enough to swing magic up 24.5 points in about 3 minutes before pulling back, making the current price cheaper than their entries.
$4,019 on magic
Elite bettor flips sides
Elite serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.3M profit bought Gentle Mates after previously closing the opposite position, despite a sharp price drop.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They have traded 337 events and $3.8M across markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They closed a prior magic position and bought Gentle Mates at 62¢ after the market moved down sharply.
$1,370 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 92%
Elite 92% bettor flips sides
Surface because this is an elite profitable esports trader with a 92% win rate across 1,073 resolved bets, now flipping into Gentle Mates amid a volume spike and rapid price move.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They have traded 337 events and $3.8M across related markets, showing a long track record in this style of market.
- They closed a magic position and bought Gentle Mates at 85¢ as volume spiked 18x.
$2,029 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 92%
80% serial esports bettor
Serial cross-market bettor with an 80% record bought Gentle Mates heavily, alongside a pre-event volume spike and sharp price impact, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor has won 80% of 339 resolved trades across 195 events.
- They have placed over $1.28M in bets and are up $8.4K lifetime.
- Their buy helped drive a 19-point move, but the current price is now well below their 87¢ entry.
$2,886 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 80%
92% sharp esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Gentle Mates, though the market has since moved below their 79¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They have traded 435 markets across 337 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- They bought Gentle Mates at 79¢, while the market is now around 64¢.
$1,763 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Surfacing because a highly active profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Gentle Mates and the trade coincided with a sharp upward price move.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,864 resolved trades, 61% wins, and about $295K profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 243 events with nearly $5M invested.
- Their buy helped confirm momentum, with Gentle Mates jumping 16 percentage points in about 3 minutes.
$1,183 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 61%
92% serial winner
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought magic, making the wallet track record the core signal despite the small single trade size.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They have traded across 337 events and 435 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- They bought magic at 60¢, while the market is now around 40¢, offering a cheaper entry than their fill.
$1,047 on magic | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp cluster on magic
Three wallets bought magic together, led by a highly profitable serial esports bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.3M lifetime P&L, alongside a sharp 75% winner.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M bought into this side.
- Three wallets put $7.5K on magic, pushing the price up about 20 points.
- Another buyer has a 75% record and is up $204K lifetime, adding support to the same direction.
$7,530 on magic
92% winner buying underdog
Elite 92% winning bettor with $463k lifetime profit bought Gentle Mates at 41¢, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $463k lifetime.
- They have a huge cross-market track record: 191 events and $839k traded.
- Entry at 41¢ backs the underdog where the market currently prices Gentle Mates near 42%.
$1,671 on Gentle Mates | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x3b4c...e850 — magic, $25,202
- 0x56c9...0d9e — Gentle Mates, $21,998 (92% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Gentle Mates, $20,000 (65% win rate)
- 0x598e...7336 — Gentle Mates, $13,197 (43% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — magic, $11,638 (75% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...4b85 — magic, $10,669 (48% win rate)
- 0x25ac...3e47 — magic, $7,577 (80% win rate)
- 0xf3ef...ca6b — magic, $5,999 (59% win rate)
- 0x72aa...90e0 — Gentle Mates, $5,743 (51% win rate)
- 0x6277...5a3f — magic, $4,526 (80% win rate)
