Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three lower bracket quarterfinal between Legacy and HOTU in IEM Rio Group B. The market resolves to Legacy if Legacy win the match, or HOTU if HOTU win, with a 50-50 resolution only if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. It is scheduled for April 14 at 4:30 PM ET and currently has $2,186 in tracked smart money with recent sharp action highlighted on HOTU.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Legacy and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,767.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

117-0 sharp on HOTU

A highly proven sports trader with a perfect 117-0 resolved record and $558k profit is taking a contrarian $1k position on HOTU at 30¢, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size.

  • This bettor has won 117 of 117 resolved trades and is up $558k lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related markets — 177 markets in 164 events with a perfect record
  • Bought HOTU at 30¢, a contrarian underdog price that implies they see clear value

$1,045 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 100%

New wallet repeat bettor

A 2-day-old wallet has already made 8 sizeable flagged bets totaling over $17k and is adding another $1.1k position, making it a notable early-conviction new-wallet bettor worth monitoring despite limited history.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 8 large-bet alerts with $17.3k in flagged volume
  • It already has 4 positions and is slightly profitable, which is unusual for a brand-new account betting this actively
  • Bought Legacy at 70¢ in a fairly liquid market, signaling straightforward conviction rather than a random small punt

$1,141 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 50%

79% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 79% win rate and $346k P&L is making a fresh bet on Legacy, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $346k across 661 bets
  • They have a long track record across 58 events and 61 markets, which makes this look like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off play
  • They bought Legacy at 67¢, pricing in a solid favorite but still leaving room if their read is right

$1,581 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x30c7...ac3b Legacy, $13,600 (56% win rate)
  2. 0x70d8...a237 Legacy, $4,630 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x6185...2965 HOTU, $3,482 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xbb64...bfdc HOTU, $3,039 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x24d3...30ab HOTU, $2,765 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x52b7...0aa1 HOTU, $2,650
  7. 0x8e8c...65dd Legacy, $2,371 (79% win rate)
  8. 0xa048...dd23 HOTU, $2,348 (39% win rate)
  9. 0xc463...9a2f HOTU, $2,000 (61% win rate)
  10. 0x48b8...4b69 Legacy, $1,429 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

17h$3,767 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Legacy
70¢
HOTU
31¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Legacy and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1h ago

$1,045 on HOTU at 30¢

30¢31¢1¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1h ago

$1,141 on Legacy at 70¢

70¢70¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

4h ago

$1,581 on Legacy at 67¢

67¢70¢3¢

Related Theses

Legacy vs HOTU Odds - IEM Rio CS2 Prediction | PolySpotter