Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

This Polymarket covers the Counter-Strike IEM Rio Group B upper bracket quarterfinal between Legacy and MOUZ, scheduled for April 13 at 10:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the best-of-3 match, with a 50-50 resolution only if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $1,156 in smart money on this market, with recent alerts showing notable buying interest on both MOUZ and Legacy.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Legacy and MOUZ in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $130,758.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

94% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp sports wallet with a 94% win rate joined a 3-wallet one-sided Legacy buy cluster during a huge pre-match volume spike, making this a strong signal despite the small ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $1.7M across 196 resolved positions
  • Three wallets all bought Legacy together for $18.1k as volume ran 227x above normal before the match
  • They paid 54¢ for Legacy, showing conviction even after a sharp move in a market with nearly $500k of 24h volume

$1,156 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.7M profit is buying Legacy into a massive pre-match volume spike, making this a strong signal worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.7M lifetime across 196 settled positions.
  • They trade heavily across sports markets with 303 events tracked, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • Bought Legacy at 54¢ during an 803x volume spike, after this market had already surged 25.5 points in a day.

$5,408 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.7M in profit is taking a fresh position on Legacy, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $1.7M lifetime across 196 resolved positions
  • They have placed $3.5M+ across 300+ events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a lucky streak
  • They bought Legacy at 38¢ while the market now sits around 36-37¢, signaling a clear view that Legacy is undervalued

$1,512 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 94%

5-wallet MOUZ pile-in

Five wallets piled $108k into MOUZ within minutes during a huge pre-match volume surge, led by one profitable high-volume trader, making this coordinated esports flow worth surfacing despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Five wallets bought $108k of MOUZ in a few minutes, a strong one-sided push on one side of the match.
  • Market volume ran 227x above normal and MOUZ moved from 48¢ entries to 52¢, showing the buying pressure already lifted the price.
  • One of the buyers has a long track record: 63% wins across 825 resolved bets and $556k profit.

$107,726 on MOUZ

94% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.7M profit bought Legacy at 29¢, and the market has already moved up to 38¢ behind them.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $1.7M across nearly 200 bets
  • They bought Legacy at 29¢ and the market is now 38¢, showing immediate follow-through
  • This wallet has traded 367 markets across 302 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$995 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp cluster buying Legacy

Three wallets piled into Legacy around 27-29¢ for $12k total, led by a bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.7M profit, and the market has already moved sharply higher on a huge volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of their trades and is up $1.7M led this Legacy buy cluster.
  • Three wallets bought $12k of Legacy at 27-29¢, and the price has already jumped to 40¢.
  • Market volume ran 122x above normal, which supports the idea that informed money moved early.

$12,045 on Legacy

Profitable esports underdog buyer

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with 791 resolved bets and $115k profit bought Legacy at 28¢ during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a credible underdog position worth watching.

  • This bettor has 791 resolved trades, wins 65% of the time, and is up $115k overall.
  • They bought Legacy at 28¢ during a 365x surge in market activity before the match.
  • At 28¢, the price implies a big underdog, so this is a clear contrarian swing rather than routine whale flow.

$1,918 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1a5c...a375 MOUZ, $200,020 (31% win rate)
  2. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Legacy, $122,239 (53% win rate)
  3. 0xc257...358e MOUZ, $50,000 (96% win rate)
  4. 0x9fe1...4d7f MOUZ, $35,827 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x54c9...09f8 Legacy, $34,908 (41% win rate)
  6. 0xc350...3669 Legacy, $32,769 (63% win rate)
  7. 0x0dcf...c556 Legacy, $28,702 (94% win rate)
  8. 0x7193...ae51 MOUZ, $24,213 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x7d11...99ca Legacy, $20,000 (75% win rate)
  10. 0x21ec...5348 Legacy, $20,000 (57% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

4h$130,758 tracked7 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Legacy
72¢
MOUZ
28¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Legacy and MOUZ in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 13 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Legacy
73¢
50¢
27¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

2m ago

$1,156 on Legacy at 54¢

54¢72¢18¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

8m ago

$5,408 on Legacy at 54¢

54¢72¢18¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

41m ago

$1,512 on Legacy at 38¢

38¢72¢34¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

2m ago

$107,726 on MOUZ at 48¢

48¢28¢20¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

54m ago

$995 on Legacy at 29¢

29¢72¢43¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1h ago

$12,045 on Legacy at 27¢

27¢72¢45¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1h ago

$1,918 on Legacy at 28¢

28¢72¢44¢

Related Theses

Legacy vs MOUZ Odds | IEM Rio Polymarket | PolySpotter