Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in their Counter-Strike 2 Round 4 match at the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to MOUZ if MOUZ win Map 1, or Aurora Gaming if Aurora win Map 1, with resolution scheduled for May 12, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,560 in smart money across 2 signals, including recent sharp activity around MOUZ.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $34,972.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable serial cross-market esports trader sold Aurora after earlier positioning, effectively backing MOUZ before a sharp move to 100%.
- This bettor is up $627K lifetime and has traded nearly 2,000 resolved markets.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.25M across 299 markets, suggesting this is a repeat strategy.
- Selling Aurora at 43¢ was effectively buying MOUZ at 57¢ before MOUZ moved to 100%.
$1,101 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial esports trader
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought MOUZ at 57¢ before the market moved to 100%, alongside a volume spike and rapid price move.
- This bettor is up $2.24M lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved trades.
- They bought MOUZ at 57¢ before the market moved to 100%, showing strong timing.
- The market saw a 14x volume spike and a quick 10-point move in MOUZ’s favor.
$1,459 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 55%
Elite esports sharp
Elite serial cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and $581k profit bought MOUZ before a small price move, with supporting pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $581,714 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 149 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Bought MOUZ at 88¢ before the market moved to 90¢ amid a 13.2x volume spike.
$2,427 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable, high-volume serial trader bought MOUZ at 90¢ alongside a pre-match volume spike and rapid 10-point price move.
- This high-volume bettor is up $2.24M lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved trades.
- MOUZ saw a 13x pre-match volume spike and moved up 10 points in about 3 minutes.
- The trade is on a heavy favorite at 90¢, so the edge is likely timing and information rather than long-shot upside.
$2,016 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 55%
Elite esports sharp
Elite 92% lifetime winner bought MOUZ despite the price later moving against them, with a supporting pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.29M lifetime.
- They have traded 322 events across 412 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Their 71¢ MOUZ entry came during a 174x pre-event volume spike, though the market has since fallen to 57¢.
$6,714 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winner joins MOUZ surge
Strong MOUZ buy cluster with a highly profitable 92% winner leading the flow, a major volume spike, and price moving from 50¢ to about 70¢.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.29M bought MOUZ around 68–71¢.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $12.5K total, pushing MOUZ from 50¢ to about 70¢.
- This market saw an 88x volume spike before the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-event conviction.
$12,485 on MOUZ
Profitable esports serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora on a CS map market amid a major pre-event volume spike and notable price move.
- This bettor has a long record across 582 resolved markets and is up $574K lifetime.
- They regularly trade across related markets, with 188 events and over $1.1M in cross-market activity tracked.
- Aurora was bought at 33¢ during an 88x volume spike, suggesting a focused pre-match position.
$2,825 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial esports trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 64% record and $574k lifetime profit bought Aurora Gaming as a Map 1 underdog.
- This bettor has won 64% of 582 resolved trades and is up $574k lifetime.
- They are a heavy cross-market trader, active across 187 events with over $1.1M tracked volume.
- They bought Aurora at 49¢, while the market now sits around 40¢, offering a cheaper entry than they got.
$3,801 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Despite a modest alert score, this is a massive profitable serial sports trader buying MOUZ at 50% before the market moved to 60%.
- This bettor is up $2.24M lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved bets.
- They bought MOUZ at 50¢ and the market has already moved to 60¢.
- This wallet is a highly active cross-market trader with $176M invested historically.
$2,145 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Aurora Gaming, $44,000 (64% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — MOUZ, $9,972 (73% win rate)
- 0x0997...c9f6 — MOUZ, $7,738
- 0x6fc4...c89d — MOUZ, $6,994 (100% win rate)
- 0x9ad6...4251 — MOUZ, $6,356
- 0x82dc...5700 — MOUZ, $5,801 (51% win rate)
- 0x2529...548a — MOUZ, $5,575 (51% win rate)
- 0xb6ce...7a7d — MOUZ, $4,825 (48% win rate)
- 0x5aa9...febe — Aurora Gaming, $4,503
- 0x13f0...a50f — MOUZ, $4,311 (100% win rate)
