Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
This Polymarket market predicts the Map 1 winner between MOUZ and Spirit in the Counter-Strike PGL Astana Playoffs Semifinal 1. PolySpotter is tracking $10,018 in smart money and 1 signal, with recent alerts highlighting Spirit-side activity. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 16, 2026, based on the official Map 1 result.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between MOUZ and Spirit in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 1 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,488.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Four-wallet Spirit push
Four wallets bought $10k of Spirit amid a 92x pre-event volume spike, including a highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $353k lifetime profit.
- Four wallets all bought Spirit on Map 1, putting in $10k on the same side before the match.
- The largest buyer is up $353k lifetime and has traded nearly 2,000 resolved markets.
- Volume spiked 92x above normal and Spirit moved up 12 points in about 4 minutes.
$10,018 on Spirit
Profitable 78% esports bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 78% record and positive lifetime P&L bought $5,000 of Spirit despite only a modest composite score.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $29K lifetime.
- They placed $5,000 on Spirit at 71¢ in a liquid market with a tight spread.
- Their past bets beat market odds by 17 percentage points on average.
$5,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Spirit at 66¢, with a strong 117-bet record and $283k lifetime profit despite only a moderate signal score.
- This bettor has won 67% of 117 resolved bets and is up $283k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 45 events and $207k in tracked related bets.
- Entry at 66¢ suggests confidence in Spirit despite a fairly liquid market.
$3,358 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 67%
95% winner backs underdog
Elite 95% historical winner with $450k profit is buying MOUZ at 36¢ on a CS map market, making the wallet itself the strongest copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up about $450k lifetime.
- They have traded across 155 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 36¢ on MOUZ implies a potential ~2.8x payout if their read is right.
$1,111 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0x4d51...4946 — Spirit, $32,000
- 0x64c5...d255 — Spirit, $26,444
- 0x4ad6...464c — Spirit, $20,277
- 0xd6f5...f3b5 — MOUZ, $12,420 (89% win rate)
- 0xac9c...50d8 — MOUZ, $9,832
- 0xd3b0...329e — Spirit, $8,500 (61% win rate)
- 0x3da8...80c3 — Spirit, $7,088 (77% win rate)
- 0x7a78...add7 — MOUZ, $6,348 (49% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — MOUZ, $6,195 (66% win rate)
- 0xecee...a577 — MOUZ, $5,809
