Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Spirit in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 11 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $114,932.
Categories: counter strike 2, Games, Sports, Esports
Notable Trades
74% serial cross-market bettor
Serial cross-market trader with a 74% record over 687 resolved bets bought Spirit at 90¢ before the market moved to 94¢.
- This bettor has won 74% of 687 resolved bets and is up $22,459 lifetime.
- They have traded across 27 events and 36 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- They bought Spirit at 90¢, and the market has already moved to 94¢.
$2,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable esports contrarian cluster
High-score contrarian Natus Vincere cluster led by a profitable high-volume cross-market bettor, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- A high-volume bettor with $626K lifetime profit is taking the underdog side here.
- Three wallets all positioned on Natus Vincere, totaling $8.6K in the same direction.
- The market has moved against them from roughly 19¢ entry to 8¢, so the copy price is much better but riskier.
$8,608 on Natus Vincere
Profitable serial trader joins cluster
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought Natus Vincere alongside a 10-wallet one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has made $240K profit across 391 resolved bets with a 71% win rate.
- 10 wallets bought the same side for nearly $96K, showing strong one-way conviction.
- Volume spiked 73x before the match, suggesting unusual pre-event positioning.
$1,152 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 75%
10-wallet same-side esports cluster
High one-sided coordinated flow and a 73x pre-event volume spike make the Natus Vincere side worth surfacing despite this specific wallet's weak history.
- 10 wallets are betting the same way, totaling about $95.7k on this side.
- Market volume spiked 73x before the match, suggesting a strong pre-event move.
- This trade is equivalent to buying Natus Vincere at 37¢, while the market is currently around 28¢.
$1,966 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 40%
Perfect-record bettor on Spirit
Surface this because a wallet with a perfect 22-for-22 resolved record and strong profit is buying Spirit despite the market already being liquid.
- This bettor has won 22 of 22 resolved bets and is up $14.7K lifetime.
- They are buying Spirit at 64¢, implying confidence even in a highly traded market.
- The market also saw a 23.9x pre-event volume spike, adding momentum to the bet.
$1,920 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 99%
25-wallet sharp Spirit cluster
A large 25-wallet Spirit cluster with linked funding, sharp bettors, serial cross-market winners, and a 17-point price move makes this a strong coordinated-flow signal despite some opposing NAVI buying.
- 25 wallets bought $67k of Spirit, with 7 wallets sharing a funder.
- Several proven bettors joined the same side, including wallets with 100%, 89%, and 80% winning records.
- Spirit moved from the mid-60¢ range to 82¢ as the flow hit, with volume running 37x above normal.
$66,989 on Spirit
99% win-rate esports sharp
Elite proven bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Spirit at 64¢.
- This bettor has won 362 of 367 resolved positions and is up $239K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 75 events with a 99% hit rate.
- A $2K buy on Spirit at 64¢ aligns with the current market but comes from an unusually strong track record.
$2,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable new wallet fading favorite
A 5-day-old wallet with repeat large-bet flags and early profits is closing Spirit, which converts to a buy on Natus Vincere, though this looks more like de-risking than a fresh all-in position.
- This 5-day-old wallet is already up $3.3K and has been flagged 7 times for large bets.
- The trade effectively backs Natus Vincere at 37¢ against the 64¢ favorite Spirit.
- This is a position close rather than a fresh buy, so the signal is weaker than a clean new entry.
$2,500 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%
93% win-rate bettor
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L is buying Natus Vincere at 37¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $17,069 lifetime.
- Their past wins came at about 50¢ on average, suggesting real edge rather than just betting heavy favorites.
- They are buying Natus Vincere at 37¢ in a liquid market, implying they see meaningful upside versus current odds.
$1,020 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 97%
92% winner backing favorite
Sharp esports bettor with a 92% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Spirit at 64¢ despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has won 24 of 26 resolved positions and is up $7.2K lifetime.
- They are backing Spirit with a fresh $1K buy at 64¢ in a liquid match market.
- Their past wins came at 57¢ average odds, suggesting they have beaten market expectations before.
$1,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%
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