Part of: Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,214.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial market mover

A profitable serial cross-market trader bought Phantom before a large volume spike and a sharp move from 87¢ to 98¢, though the copy window is mostly gone at current odds.

  • This bettor is up $245k across 525 resolved bets and has traded 138 related events.
  • Phantom saw a 181x volume surge and jumped 28 percentage points after the buy.
  • They entered at 87¢ and the market is now 98¢, so this is only attractive on a pullback.

$1,030 on Phantom | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp contrarian esports buyer

A historically profitable serial cross-market bettor bought paiN at 44¢ during a major volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $163K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 44 events with nearly $399K deployed.
  • The entry was contrarian at 44¢, but paiN has since collapsed to 8¢, so this is high-risk.

$1,292 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 77%

92% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.2M lifetime P&L is buying paiN at 67¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $1.2M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 386 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 67¢ implies they see paiN as underpriced despite already being the favorite.

$1,892 on paiN | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x86e9...4cdf Outcome 48582041, $3,918 (92% win rate)
  2. 0x89eb...cff9 Outcome 48582041, $3,575 (80% win rate)
  3. 0x03f4...7e44 Outcome 48582041, $3,450 (63% win rate)
  4. 0xa27c...ab67 Outcome 48582041, $3,000 (74% win rate)
  5. 0x3db4...d69b Outcome 48582041, $3,000 (61% win rate)
  6. 0xf377...4159 Outcome 48582041, $2,932 (77% win rate)
  7. 0xfcc7...4d38 Outcome 48582041, $2,633 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x224f...514a Outcome 48582041, $2,100 (84% win rate)
  9. 0x2f26...0d8f Outcome 48582041, $2,051
  10. 0xa35b...60e9 Outcome 48582041, $1,613 (51% win rate)

Related Theses

Heroic sweeps Gaimin Gladiators

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Knicks win high-scoring game

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Spurs win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Türkiye wins high-scoring rout

Covers 4 related markets

Thunder win low-scoring matchup

Covers 7 related markets

Iran peace deal odds mispriced

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs win high-scoring game

Covers 5 related markets

Knicks win high-scoring game

Covers 7 related markets

Portugal wins big clean sheet

Covers 4 related markets

Knicks-Spurs stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

ResolvedCounter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs$4,214 tracked3 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinals 1 match between paiN and Phantom in the Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 15 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against Phantom. This market will resolve to "Phantom" if Phantom win the match against paiN. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

3d ago

$1,030 on Phantom at 87¢

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

3d ago

$1,292 on paiN at 44¢

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

4d ago

$1,892 on paiN at 67¢

Related Theses