Part of: Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Sinners and Astralis in the IEM Atlanta Group B lower bracket semifinal, scheduled for May 13 at 2:00 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, tie, or extended delay rules applying if no winner is determined by the stated conditions. PolySpotter is tracking $2,100 in smart money and 1 signal, with recent sharp-bettor alerts pointing toward Astralis support.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Sinners and Astralis in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against Astralis. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against Sinners. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,518.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Elite 93% win-rate bettor

Elite esports/cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate and $645k profit bought Astralis at 67%, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $645k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 871 events with over $1.6M invested.
  • Buying Astralis at 67¢ shows clear confidence in the favorite at roughly a 1.5x payout.

$2,100 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 93%

77% winner backs favorite

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Astralis at 68% in a modest-liquidity esports market.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $86.7K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events with $1.65M in flagged activity.
  • A $1.85K buy at 68¢ is meaningful against about $9.3K total market volume.

$1,852 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 77%

Proven esports sharp

Sharp high-sample bettor with 80% win rate and $166k profit bought Astralis at 67¢ despite only a modest composite score.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 1,536 bets and is up $166K lifetime.
  • They bought Astralis at 67¢, slightly below the current 68% market price.
  • The wallet has a long profitable history, making the trader’s track record the main signal.

$1,072 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 80%

Three sharp esports bettors

Three highly profitable sharp wallets with 80%–95% win rates are all buying Astralis in the same thin CS2 market.

  • Three proven bettors are all buying Astralis, with win rates of 80%, 86%, and 95%.
  • The strongest wallet is up $429k lifetime and has won 428 of 450 resolved positions.
  • Their $3.3k combined buy is large for this market, equal to about two-thirds of recent 24h volume.

$3,283 on Astralis

86% winner backs Astralis

Sharp esports bettor with an 86% win rate and $209k lifetime profit is buying Astralis in a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $209k lifetime.
  • They have a strong cross-market record across 26 events, with the same 86% win rate.
  • The $1.1k Astralis buy is meaningful in a market with under $5k of 24h volume.

$1,079 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 86%

95% win-rate esports sharp

Elite sharp wallet with a 95% win rate and $429k lifetime profit bought Astralis in a relatively quiet CS market.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $429,657 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 137 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Their $1,132 Astralis buy is sizable in a market with only $4,962 traded in the last 24 hours.

$1,132 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7cee...b72a Astralis, $7,680 (77% win rate)
  2. 0x8e8c...65dd Sinners, $6,500 (47% win rate)
  3. 0xfdc0...4b85 Sinners, $6,140 (48% win rate)
  4. 0x9a90...1ddd Sinners, $6,071
  5. 0x988d...9899 Astralis, $3,113 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x66b1...340f Astralis, $3,102 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x4eef...3fcb Astralis, $2,739 (77% win rate)
  8. 0xf7c2...9b8d Sinners, $1,822 (95% win rate)
  9. 0x1ab6...078e Astralis, $1,610 (86% win rate)
  10. 0x6277...5a3f Astralis, $1,381 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

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Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

16hCounter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$10,518 tracked6 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Sinners
34¢
Astralis
67¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between Sinners and Astralis in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 13 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against Astralis. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against Sinners. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Astralis
70¢
68¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

18m ago

$2,100 on Astralis at 67¢

67¢67¢

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

32m ago

$1,852 on Astralis at 68¢

68¢67¢1¢

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

2h ago

$1,072 on Astralis at 67¢

67¢67¢

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

2h ago

$3,283 on Astralis at 67¢

67¢67¢

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

2h ago

$1,079 on Astralis at 67¢

67¢67¢

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

2h ago

$1,132 on Astralis at 67¢

67¢67¢

Related Theses