Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
This Polymarket tracks the Counter-Strike 2 IEM Rio Playoffs quarterfinal between Spirit and MOUZ, scheduled for April 17. Traders are betting on which team will win the best-of-3 match, with the market resolving to the winning side once the result is official. PolySpotter also shows smart money activity on this market, including recent signals tied to MOUZ.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Spirit and MOUZ in the IEM Rio Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 17 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,033.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
98% win-rate sharp bettor
A historically elite wallet with a 98% win rate and $3.0M profit is taking a fresh $9.8k position on MOUZ at 40¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $3.0M lifetime
- They've traded 327 markets across 212 events, so this looks like a repeat sharp bettor rather than a one-off punt
- Bought MOUZ at 40¢, implying they see the underdog as meaningfully underpriced
$9,820 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 98%
80% win-rate bettor
A proven profitable sports bettor with an 80% win rate and strong edge opened a fresh $1.96k position on MOUZ at 40¢, making this a worthwhile sharp-money signal despite only one alert source.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $15.2k on $67.5k invested
- They bought MOUZ at 40¢, a price that implies roughly 2.5x upside if their read is right
- This is a fresh position from a proven bettor, not routine profit-taking
$1,964 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 80%
80% win-rate underdog bet
A bettor with a strong proven edge and 80% win rate is taking the underdog side at 40¢, making this a worthwhile sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $15.2k across 35 settled positions
- They bought MOUZ at 40¢, an underdog price that suggests they see the true odds meaningfully higher
- The edge comes from the trader's track record rather than whale size, since this was a $982 bet in a very liquid market
$982 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 80%
91% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly proven sports trader with a 91% win rate and over $1.08M in profit just placed a fresh $23.5k bet on Spirit, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $1.08M across 195 resolved positions
- They have bet more than $9.1M across 327 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off swing
- They bought Spirit at 60¢ with $23.5k, a clear high-conviction position from a proven winner
$23,510 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 91%
91% win-rate esports sharp
A proven sharp bettor with a 91% win rate and over $1.08M in profit just put $21k on Spirit, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up $1.09M lifetime
- They have placed more than $9.1M across 349 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- They just bought Spirit at 60¢ with a $21k position, a sizable bet even in a liquid market
$20,996 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 91%
New wallet repeat whale
A 3-day-old wallet has already made six sizable flagged bets and is again taking a meaningful underdog position, suggesting deliberate early conviction despite no proven track record yet.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts with about $7.8k flagged total
- They just bought MOUZ at 42¢, an underdog price that pays about 2.4x if MOUZ win
- This is fresh conviction rather than routine profit-taking, though the wallet's track record is still limited
$1,235 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 50%
New wallet backing MOUZ
A very new wallet is repeatedly placing sizable bets and just bought MOUZ at 42¢, but the signal is mainly early conviction rather than a proven sharp track record.
- This wallet is under 2 days old and has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts with about $4.0k flagged total
- It bought MOUZ at 42¢, a clear underdog price that pays about 2.4x if the read is right
- The wallet is 2 for 2 so far and up about $1.7k, though the track record is still very small
$1,527 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x5d58...9a15 — Spirit, $154,175 (91% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Spirit, $126,844 (49% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — MOUZ, $116,880 (54% win rate)
- 0xea79...a9cc — Spirit, $89,805 (66% win rate)
- 0x9e2f...ec47 — MOUZ, $48,888 (47% win rate)
- 0x76dc...a9be — MOUZ, $39,611 (60% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — MOUZ, $24,820 (56% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — MOUZ, $24,550 (98% win rate)
- 0x153a...9d6d — MOUZ, $20,000 (59% win rate)
- 0x6304...e570 — Spirit, $17,499 (51% win rate)
