Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike grand final between Spirit and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, a best-of-five match initially scheduled for May 17 at 8:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with PolySpotter tracking $1,970 in smart money activity and 1 recent sharp-money signal. Resolution is listed for May 17, 2026 at 18:00 UTC, subject to the market’s cancellation, tie, or delay rules.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between Spirit and Team Falcons in the PGL Astana Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 17 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,970.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp 75% bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 75% record and +$16.5K P&L is buying Team Falcons at 41¢ despite the market pricing them as the underdog.
- This bettor has won 75% of resolved bets and is up $16.5K lifetime.
- They are taking the 41¢ underdog, implying they see better value than the current market.
- The bet is meaningful size at $1,970, about 15% of available liquidity.
$1,970 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 75%
93% sharp esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% record and nearly $270k profit bought $10k of Spirit at 60¢, supported by a long cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $270k lifetime.
- They have a deep track record across 142 events, with $740k traded and a 93% win rate.
- The $10k Spirit buy is large for this market, equal to about 79% of the past day’s volume.
$10,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x6902...b4ca — Spirit, $16,566 (93% win rate)
- 0x79be...b605 — Team Falcons, $12,055 (75% win rate)
- 0x751b...73fd — Team Falcons, $9,000 (41% win rate)
- 0x3435...1913 — Team Falcons, $8,376
- 0x29b5...cc6c — Spirit, $8,056 (59% win rate)
- 0x49ac...2f1e — Spirit, $4,237 (44% win rate)
- 0x8e8c...65dd — Spirit, $3,500 (47% win rate)
- 0xc6eb...36fd — Team Falcons, $3,000
- 0x24c7...77c4 — Team Falcons, $3,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x5f49...463a — Spirit, $2,851 (48% win rate)
