Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,505.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 92% resolved win rate bought $8.7k of Spirit at 86%, ahead of a major move to 96%.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.36M lifetime.
- They bought $8.7k of Spirit at 86%, and the market has already moved to 96%.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $4.2M flagged across 463 markets.
$8,730 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp underdog cluster
High-scoring cluster of proven profitable bettors bought Team Falcons, led by an 88% winner, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
- A bettor who wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $531k bought Team Falcons twice.
- Three profitable wallets put $5.9k on the same underdog side, including another bettor up $1.3M lifetime.
- Team Falcons is now 36% after they paid about 57% on average, so the current price is far cheaper than their entry.
$5,899 on Team Falcons
96% winner buying Spirit
A highly profitable 96% win-rate wallet bought Spirit at 57¢ alongside one-sided flow, and the market has already moved to 64¢.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $88K lifetime.
- They bought Spirit at 57¢, and the market has already moved to 64¢.
- Four wallets are betting the same way, with $6.1K concentrated on Spirit.
$2,450 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 95%
96% winner buying dip
Surface because a highly profitable 96% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Spirit, with additional one-sided flow totaling $5.05k despite the price moving against the entry.
- A bettor who wins 96% of resolved trades is backing Spirit and is up $88k lifetime.
- This wallet has traded 60 markets across 58 events, suggesting a repeat sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Spirit is now around 42¢, well below the sharp buyer’s 57¢ entry, offering a cheaper copy price if the thesis still holds.
$5,050 on Spirit
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% resolved win rate and $1.3M lifetime profit bought Team Falcons despite the market later moving against them.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime.
- They have traded across 30 related events with $2.19M total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- They bought Team Falcons at 63¢, and the market is now lower at 57¢.
$1,230 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 73%
Coordinated Spirit flow
Four wallets put $11.6k on Spirit amid a major pre-match volume spike, including one profitable high-volume esports-style trader, though the market has since moved sharply against the early entries.
- Four wallets backed Spirit for $11.6k during a 25.8x volume spike before Map 1.
- The largest buyer has 1,960 resolved bets and is up $408.9k lifetime.
- Early buys paid 62¢, but later equivalent buys came near 35¢ after the market swung against Spirit.
$11,616 on Spirit
88% sharp buying Falcons
A highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Team Falcons before the price moved from 60¢ to 68¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved positions and is up $530,914 lifetime.
- They have traded 301 markets across 166 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Team Falcons at 60¢ before the market moved to 68¢.
$2,330 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader with $185k lifetime P&L is buying Spirit at 60¢ despite only moderate alert severity.
- This bettor is up $185k across 987 resolved bets, with over $4.4M previously invested.
- They have traded across 297 events, suggesting a broad repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 60¢ implies a clean favorite-side position with room before the current market ceiling.
$4,200 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 62%
80% winner buying Spirit
Proven profitable wallet bought Spirit at 59¢, with an 80% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L despite only a modest detection score.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $36,866 lifetime.
- They bought $2,000 of Spirit at 59¢, backing the current favorite in a liquid market.
- Their past bets beat implied odds by about 16 points, suggesting real edge rather than just picking favorites.
$2,000 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 21892114, $21,277 (59% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 21892114, $14,999 (89% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Outcome 21892114, $13,994 (70% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 21892114, $13,093 (55% win rate)
- 0x90eb...db79 — Outcome 21892114, $9,242 (70% win rate)
- 0xfe8a...23ce — Outcome 21892114, $8,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x7a78...add7 — Outcome 21892114, $8,000 (48% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — Outcome 21892114, $7,011 (44% win rate)
- 0x3db3...e254 — Outcome 21892114, $5,000
- 0xef26...05ba — Outcome 21892114, $4,195 (74% win rate)
