Part of: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $91,751.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% winner cross-market whale
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% record bought Spirit at 88¢ and the market has since moved to 100%.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.36M lifetime.
- They have traded 358 events and $4.2M across related markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought Spirit at 88¢ before the market moved to 100%, so the edge may already be mostly gone.
$1,953 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 92%
New profitable esports wallet
A 5-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets bought Spirit at 75¢ before the market moved to 92¢.
- This new wallet is 3-for-3 on resolved bets and is already up $1,838.
- It bought Spirit at 75¢ before the price jumped to 92¢, showing strong timing.
- This is the wallet’s third large flagged bet in under 5 days, with $4,410 total flagged.
$1,627 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%
96% winner backing underdog
Sharp esports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate bought Team Falcons at 41¢ amid coordinated same-side flow, despite the market now trading lower.
- This bettor has won 53 of 55 resolved bets and is up $93.5K lifetime.
- Six wallets bought Team Falcons the same way, totaling $42.4K on this market.
- They entered at 41¢ while Team Falcons now trades near 26¢, offering a cheaper follow price than the sharp’s entry.
$1,800 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 95%
Perfect-record esports sharp
Elite wallet with a 38-0 resolved record bought Team Falcons, backed by serial cross-market success and same-side flow from 6 wallets.
- This bettor is 38-for-38 on resolved bets and is up $251k lifetime.
- They bought Team Falcons at 39¢ despite the market now pricing them around 26¢.
- Six wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $42k of Team Falcons demand.
$7,800 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 100%
6-wallet underdog cluster
A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 6-wallet Team Falcons buy cluster amid a 52x pre-event volume spike, though the price has since moved against the entry.
- Six wallets bought the same underdog side, totaling $42k in Team Falcons buys.
- This bettor has traded 116 events and is up $101k lifetime across 672 resolved bets.
- Market volume spiked 52x before the event, showing unusually heavy positioning.
$1,170 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 60%
Perfect-record wallet backs Falcons
A high-scoring Falcons cluster is worth surfacing because it includes a 38-for-38 profitable wallet and $34k of coordinated buying into a fast-moving esports market.
- A bettor who is 38-for-38 with $251k profit bought $7.8k of Team Falcons at 39¢.
- Four wallets bought $34.4k on the same side, outweighing the opposing Spirit cluster.
- Volume is 157x normal, and Falcons has already moved from the 38–40¢ entries to 42¢.
$34,387 on Team Falcons
Six-wallet one-sided flow
Coordinated one-sided buying plus a major pre-event volume spike makes this worth surfacing despite the individual trade being modest and currently marked slightly underwater.
- 6 wallets bought the same side, totaling $14.3K in one direction.
- Market volume spiked 157x versus its recent average before the event.
- This bettor is profitable over a large sample, up $28.2K across 189 resolved trades.
$1,240 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 57%
11-wallet Spirit steam move
A large 11-wallet one-sided move bought Spirit before a sharp rally from roughly 60% to 90%, with several profitable sports/event traders involved.
- 11 wallets bought the same side for $41.8K, pushing Spirit from around 60¢ to 90¢.
- One buyer wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $39.9K across 87 resolved markets.
- Volume spiked 25x before the event, suggesting a broad rush into the same outcome.
$41,773 on Spirit
Top Holders
- 0x3936...366d — Outcome 10280043, $20,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 10280043, $14,781 (89% win rate)
- 0xce80...08ed — Outcome 10280043, $14,761 (66% win rate)
- 0xbf5e...4189 — Outcome 10280043, $10,123 (56% win rate)
- 0x03f8...d85a — Outcome 10280043, $7,825 (95% win rate)
- 0xb7f5...c669 — Outcome 10280043, $7,777 (48% win rate)
- 0x1f1d...fa6a — Outcome 10280043, $7,699 (100% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — Outcome 10280043, $7,489 (44% win rate)
- 0x77f6...dbd1 — Outcome 10280043, $5,250 (46% win rate)
- 0xa2e4...bf9d — Outcome 10280043, $3,000 (60% win rate)
Related Theses
Spirit rebounds to beat Falcons
Covers 4 related markets
