Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in Round 5 of the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected by May 13, 2026, and PolySpotter currently tracks $1,358 in smart money across 1 signal.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,358.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor with a 242-bet track record bought Aurora at 42¢ in a thin esports market before the price moved to 48¢.
- This bettor has won 62% of 242 resolved bets and is up $129k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 105 events, with $678k tracked in similar positioning.
- Their 42¢ Aurora entry was large for this market, about 81% of recent 24h volume, and the price has already moved to 48¢.
$1,358 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0x30c7...ac3b — Aurora Gaming, $26,580 (62% win rate)
- 0x50ac...a924 — TheMongolz, $4,115 (53% win rate)
- 0x5f45...a77a — TheMongolz, $4,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x9919...f261 — TheMongolz, $2,992 (47% win rate)
- 0x787f...d40c — TheMongolz, $2,947 (68% win rate)
- 0x653e...bbc0 — TheMongolz, $2,600
- 0x182d...73e9 — Aurora Gaming, $2,437 (39% win rate)
- 0xc49f...9e05 — Aurora Gaming, $2,364 (96% win rate)
- 0x141f...7711 — TheMongolz, $1,953 (69% win rate)
- 0x8976...7367 — TheMongolz, $1,748 (50% win rate)
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