Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
26 smart money signals detected, totaling $88,649.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial esports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with $2.3M lifetime P&L is taking a contrarian TheMongolz position, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor is up $2.3M lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded 1,700+ related markets across 1,456 events, showing a long-running cross-market strategy.
- This is a contrarian 16¢ entry on TheMongolz, now down to 8¢ after a sharp move against them.
$1,589 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 55%
Serial esports mover
Serial cross-market esports trader with a 72% hit rate bought $3.6k of Aurora at 79%, helping drive a rapid move to 84%.
- This wallet has traded 164 markets across 152 events and wins 72% of resolved bets.
- They bought $3.6k of Aurora at 79¢ before the price jumped to 84¢.
- The market moved 26 percentage points in 5 minutes with a tight 1¢ spread, suggesting real momentum.
$3,600 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable serial esports flow
Surface: a profitable serial cross-market sports/esports bettor joined one-sided Aurora flow amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a long track record: 246 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $170k lifetime profit.
- Four wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $14.7k on one side.
- Market volume is surging 42x before the match, suggesting strong pre-event positioning.
$1,672 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable bettor joins Aurora cluster
Surface: a profitable serial cross-market trader joined one-sided Aurora flow during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has a large track record: 1,396 resolved bets, 59% wins, and $126K lifetime profit.
- Four wallets are all buying Aurora, totaling $14.7K on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 41.6x before the match, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$1,214 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 58%
Profitable serial esports trader
A highly active profitable cross-market trader sold TheMongolz before a sharp move lower, effectively backing Aurora at 50¢ despite the trade also closing a prior TheMongolz position.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,851 resolved trades and is up $65K lifetime.
- They effectively backed Aurora at 50¢ before the market moved to 64¢.
- TheMongolz dropped 11 points in about 3 minutes, and this wallet was on the right side of the move.
$1,318 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large positive track record bought Aurora as an underdog despite the price moving against them afterward.
- This bettor is up $497k across 431 resolved trades, with a 61% win rate.
- They have traded 250 events and nearly $1.9M in similar cross-market action.
- They bought Aurora at 42¢, while the market is now around 32¢, offering a cheaper entry than their fill.
$4,248 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 61%
87% winning esports sharp
Sharp esports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong cross-market history bought TheMongolz despite the price later moving against them.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $87K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 67 events, with the same 87% win rate over 119 resolved positions.
- Entry at 67¢ has moved to 58¢, offering a cheaper price than the sharp bettor paid.
$2,429 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 83%
95% winner joins Aurora cluster
Elite 95% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying Aurora alongside a linked one-sided cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $430K lifetime.
- Four wallets are all buying Aurora, including two linked wallets, for $8.6K total.
- Market volume is spiking 33x before the match, and this entry at 48¢ implies roughly 2x upside.
$2,222 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large 327-bet history bought Aurora at 48¢ amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 66% of 327 resolved bets and is up about $147k lifetime.
- They have traded across 46 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports process rather than a one-off bet.
- Aurora was bought at 48¢ in a market seeing a 20x pre-event volume spike.
$1,250 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 74%
93% win-rate esports sharp
Proven sharp esports bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.6M profit is buying TheMongolz for $10k at 53¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $2.6M lifetime.
- They have traded across 407 events with $5.4M deployed, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- A $10k buy at 53¢ implies they see TheMongolz as better than a coin flip.
$10,000 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 14444423, $22,552 (70% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 14444423, $20,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Outcome 14444423, $19,811 (95% win rate)
- 0x41f4...3eac — Outcome 14444423, $16,135 (94% win rate)
- 0xcc6e...fa6f — Outcome 14444423, $14,924 (66% win rate)
- 0x2f63...f247 — Outcome 14444423, $11,111 (85% win rate)
- 0x6902...b4ca — Outcome 14444423, $9,865 (95% win rate)
- 0x3936...366d — Outcome 14444423, $9,769 (100% win rate)
- 0xe169...4653 — Outcome 14444423, $7,678 (77% win rate)
- 0xa557...6e77 — Outcome 14444423, $7,089 (57% win rate)
Related Theses
FUT wins in three maps
Covers 3 related markets
Spirit wins after dropping Game 1
Covers 3 related markets
FUT sweeps EDward Gaming
Covers 3 related markets
Monte beats paiN
Covers 4 related markets
G2 sweeps BIG
Covers 3 related markets
TYLOO sweeps 9z
Covers 3 related markets
B8 sweep BIG
Covers 3 related markets
FUT wins in three maps
Covers 4 related markets
