Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in Round 5 of the PGL Astana Group Stage. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected by May 13, 2026, and PolySpotter currently tracks $1,358 in smart money across 1 signal.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,358.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports bettor

Profitable high-volume bettor with a 242-bet track record bought Aurora at 42¢ in a thin esports market before the price moved to 48¢.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 242 resolved bets and is up $129k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 105 events, with $678k tracked in similar positioning.
  • Their 42¢ Aurora entry was large for this market, about 81% of recent 24h volume, and the price has already moved to 48¢.

$1,358 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0x30c7...ac3b Aurora Gaming, $26,580 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x50ac...a924 TheMongolz, $4,115 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x5f45...a77a TheMongolz, $4,000 (62% win rate)
  4. 0x9919...f261 TheMongolz, $2,992 (47% win rate)
  5. 0x787f...d40c TheMongolz, $2,947 (68% win rate)
  6. 0x653e...bbc0 TheMongolz, $2,600
  7. 0x182d...73e9 Aurora Gaming, $2,437 (39% win rate)
  8. 0xc49f...9e05 Aurora Gaming, $2,364 (96% win rate)
  9. 0x141f...7711 TheMongolz, $1,953 (69% win rate)
  10. 0x8976...7367 TheMongolz, $1,748 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

XLG upsets EDward Gaming

Covers 1 related market

FUT Esports beats paiN

Covers 1 related market

9z keep it close

Covers 1 related market

Favbet wins BO3 match

Covers 1 related market

MOUZ beats Aurora Gaming

Covers 1 related market

NRG beats FaZe convincingly

Covers 2 related markets

G2 beats TheMongolz in BO3

Covers 1 related market

MOUZ beats G2 in Astana

Covers 1 related market

Monte beats magic in BO3

Covers 1 related market

Gen.G beats ZETA DIVISION

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

20hCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$1,358 tracked1 signalEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
TheMongolz
51¢
Aurora Gaming
50¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against TheMongolz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “TheMongolz
54¢
52¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2h ago

$1,358 on Aurora Gaming at 42¢

42¢50¢8¢

Related Theses