What is the TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming Map 1 prediction market?

This market lets traders predict which team will win Map 1 of the Counter-Strike match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage.

How does this Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves to TheMongolz if TheMongolz win Map 1, and to Aurora Gaming if Aurora Gaming win Map 1. If the match begins and Map 1 is completed with a winner, resolution is based on that Map 1 result.

What smart money activity is being tracked on this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $32,442 in smart money across 8 signals, including alerts such as sharp esports cluster, 3-wallet push, and high win-rate esports whale activity.

When does the TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming market resolve?

The listed resolution date is May 13, 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Final resolution depends on the official completion and result of Map 1 according to the market rules.

Where can I see current TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming odds?

You can follow this market page for live Polymarket pricing, implied probabilities, and smart money alerts as traders update their positions before and during the match.

Part of: Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

This prediction market covers the Map 1 winner between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in their Counter-Strike PGL Astana Group Stage Round 5 match. PolySpotter tracks live Polymarket odds alongside $32,442 in smart money activity across 8 signals, including recent sharp esports alerts. The market is scheduled to resolve by May 13, 2026, based on which team wins Map 1.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between TheMongolz and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 13 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TheMongolz" if TheMongolz win Map 1 against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win Map 1 against TheMongolz. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,442.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% win-rate esports whale

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% resolved win rate bought Aurora despite the price later retracing, alongside a volume spike and rapid market move.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.31M lifetime.
They are a major serial cross-market trader, with activity across 339 events and $3.86M tracked in this pattern.
Aurora was bought at 84¢ during a sharp pre-event move, though the market has since pulled back to 70¢.

$1,312 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial esports trader

Profitable high-volume serial trader took the Aurora side before a major price move, with volume spiking sharply into the match.

This bettor is up $164K lifetime across more than 2,400 resolved trades.
They effectively backed Aurora at 37¢ before the market moved to about 70¢.
Volume jumped 26.9x and TheMongolz fell 31 points after the trade.

$3,494 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 59%

92% winner flips sides

Elite 92% lifetime winner flipped from a prior TheMongolz position into Aurora during a sharp upward move, making the wallet track record the main signal despite price retracing.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.31M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with 339 events and $3.86M traded in similar patterns.
They bought Aurora at 81¢ during a fast 24.5-point move, though the market has since pulled back to 70¢.

$1,648 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial esports trader

Serial cross-market esports bettor with a large profitable history bought Aurora after a rapid 24.5-point move, though the entry is now slightly worse than market.

This bettor has a long track record: 67% wins across 1,464 resolved bets and about $97.5K profit.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with over $1.2M bet across 835 markets.
Aurora jumped 24.5 points in about 4 minutes, and this buy followed that strong move.

$1,700 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp esports cluster

Seven wallets bought Aurora in the same burst, including a 92% winner up $2.3M, and the price quickly moved to 100%.

A bettor in this cluster wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
Seven wallets put $12.8k on Aurora within minutes, alongside a 25-point rapid price jump.
The cluster’s average entry was about 65¢; Aurora is already at 100¢, so this is only attractive on a major pullback.

$12,795 on Aurora Gaming

92% winner buying TheMongolz

Elite cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved-bet win rate and $2.3M profit bought TheMongolz, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 339 events with $3.85M tracked volume.
The entry was 83¢, but TheMongolz is now around 26¢, making this a notable sharp-wallet position to monitor.

$1,366 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% win-rate esports sharp

Surface because this is an exceptionally profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% resolved win rate buying TheMongolz after a sharp price move.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with 339 events and $3.85M in tracked activity.
They bought TheMongolz at 74¢ after a rapid price drop, and the market has already rebounded to 77¢.

$1,588 on TheMongolz | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% winner in 3-wallet push

Surfaced because three wallets, including a 92% winning bettor up $2.3M, all took the TheMongolz side with a sharp intramarket move despite the price later retracing.

The strongest wallet in the cluster wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.3M lifetime.
Three wallets put $8.5K on TheMongolz, including one Aurora sell that converts to the same side.
TheMongolz moved sharply during the buying burst, though the price has since fallen back to 40¢.

$8,540 on TheMongolz