Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,454.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial sharp bettor backs Aurora

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 86% win rate and 19-point edge concentrated $2,734 on Aurora before the market reached 100%.

  • This bettor wins 86% of 497 resolved trades and has earned $1.27M.
  • They made two fresh Aurora buys totaling $2,734 at 86¢ and 90%, showing concentrated conviction.
  • The market has since moved to 100%, so the trade is no longer attractive to chase above the suggested ceiling.

$2,734 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp serial bettor backs Aurora

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate bought Aurora at 86% before a sharp move to 94%.

  • This bettor wins 86% of 497 resolved trades and is up $1.27 million lifetime.
  • They bought Aurora at 86%, while the market has since surged to 94%.
  • The $1,720 position came from a serial cross-market trader active across 169 events and 263 markets.

$1,720 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 25196754, $33,602 (98% win rate)
  2. 0xef26...05ba Outcome 25196754, $20,503 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x79ae...9a4a Outcome 25196754, $18,711 (94% win rate)
  4. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 25196754, $7,363 (89% win rate)
  5. 0x18bb...e5cd Outcome 25196754, $7,207 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x3a95...343b Outcome 25196754, $4,000 (35% win rate)
  7. 0xbd49...3096 Outcome 25196754, $2,229
  8. 0x88c3...bea3 Outcome 25196754, $1,808 (90% win rate)
  9. 0xc0f1...8680 Outcome 25196754, $1,444 (78% win rate)
  10. 0xc51f...5dc6 Outcome 25196754, $1,215 (84% win rate)

Related Theses

PARIVISION wins Games 1 and 3

Covers 3 related markets

Team Vision sweeps BoomBoys series

Covers 3 related markets

Spirit leads early; Vision takes series

Covers 5 related markets

Natus Vincere wins both games

Covers 2 related markets

Nigma wins early, Yellow prevails

Covers 3 related markets

Nigma wins G1, Vici wins G2

Covers 2 related markets

LGD Gaming wins Game 2

Covers 1 related market

Team Vision wins Game 1

Covers 1 related market

BoomBoys win Dota 2 Game 1

Covers 1 related market

Team Yandex sweeps Spirit

Covers 2 related markets

Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$4,454 tracked2 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Aurora and Pipsqueak+4 in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Pipsqueak+4. This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

2d ago

$2,734 on Aurora at 87¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

2d ago

$1,720 on Aurora at 86¢

Related Theses