Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
11 signals across 3 markets · $46,290 tracked · resolves Sep 19, 2026
Track Polymarket prediction-market activity for the Dota 2 PGL Wallachia Group Stage matchup between Aurora and Pipsqueak+4, including the Game 1 winner market. Recent PolySpotter alerts show multiple high-confidence bettors backing Aurora, alongside one sharp bettor supporting the underdog.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp esports bettor backs Aurora
A highly profitable esports bettor with an 87% win rate and 17% edge made a sizable Aurora purchase amid a major volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
$1,948Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 8.9 - 96% winner scaling into Aurora
A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate added heavily to Aurora alongside a funded-wallet cluster and a major volume spike, despite the market moving sharply against the position.
$1,688Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 8.3 - Sharp wallets converging on Aurora
Seven wallets committed over $17,000 to Aurora while other traders sold Pipsqueak+4, with multiple highly profitable bettors supporting the same direction.
$17,278Score: 7.9 - Serial bettor joins six-wallet Pipsqueak+4 flow
A serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate re-entered Pipsqueak+4 alongside five other wallets during a 128.9x volume spike.
$4,200Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 7.7 - Sharp serial bettor backs Aurora
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate bought Aurora at 86% before a sharp move to 94%.
$1,720Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 7.5 - 97% winner backs Aurora
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate and 299 resolved positions made a concentrated $7,129 Aurora bet, despite the price subsequently falling sharply.
$7,129Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 6.1 - Sharp bettor joins six-wallet Pipsqueak flow
A highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate added to a Pipsqueak+4 position amid six-wallet one-sided buying and a major volume spike.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 6.0 - 98% win-rate bettor backs underdog
A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and $11.7M lifetime profit made a fresh $2,000 underdog position amid a major volume spike.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 5.8 - 98% win-rate esports bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate made a concentrated $4,093 bet on Pipsqueak+4 at 30–34%, nearly consuming the market's recent volume.
$4,093Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 5.7 - 98% winner backs Pipsqueak+4
An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial historical edge is making a fresh $2,000 bet on Pipsqueak+4 at 34 cents.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 5.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe16d3f…5e30$8,093 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 98% wins
- 0x3413c8…8ff2$7,129 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x4aec70…4ce9$4,454 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x5a56fe…10f5$4,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0xdc3fca…5e0d$1,948 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xf3ce7f…a57a$1,688 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xeb6922…cfd1$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
FAQs
What are the Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 prediction-market odds?
This event tracks the traded probabilities for Aurora and Pipsqueak+4, including the Game 1 winner market. Check the live PolySpotter page for current prices and market-implied odds.
What is smart money betting on in Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4?
Recent alerts show strong support for Aurora: a 96% winner is scaling into Aurora, a 97% winner backs Aurora, and a sharp esports bettor also backs Aurora. A 98% win-rate bettor has taken the underdog side.
How much smart money is tracked on this event?
PolySpotter tracks $12,766 in smart money across the event and has recorded four smart money signals.
When does the Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by September 19, 2026 at 9:15 PM UTC, after the Round 1 match. If the match is canceled or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 under the listed rules.