Part of: Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,766.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp esports bettor backs Aurora

A highly profitable esports bettor with an 87% win rate and 17% edge made a sizable Aurora purchase amid a major volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 87% of trades—186 of 213—with $176,711 in lifetime profit and a meaningful edge over entry odds.
  • They placed nearly $2,000 on Aurora at 77¢ while trading activity surged 60.4 times above normal.
  • Aurora has since fallen to roughly 52%, creating a much cheaper entry but also signaling that the original thesis has weakened.

$1,948 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 88%

96% winner scaling into Aurora

A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate added heavily to Aurora alongside a funded-wallet cluster and a major volume spike, despite the market moving sharply against the position.

  • This bettor has won 933 of 976 resolved positions, with $1.72M in realized profit and a 58% average winning entry price.
  • The $1,688 Aurora purchase added to an existing $15,959 position, signaling continued conviction despite odds falling from 76% to about 52%.
  • A second wallet sharing the same funder and a 60x volume spike provide additional confirmation of concentrated interest.

$1,688 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 96%

97% winner backs Aurora

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate and 299 resolved positions made a concentrated $7,129 Aurora bet, despite the price subsequently falling sharply.

  • This bettor wins 97% of 299 resolved positions and is up about $2.2 million.
  • They made a concentrated $7,129 bet on Aurora at 73¢, signaling strong pre-match conviction.
  • Aurora has since fallen to roughly 52%, so the position is under pressure despite the bettor’s exceptional record.

$7,129 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 97%

98% win-rate bettor backs underdog

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and $11.7M lifetime profit made a fresh $2,000 underdog position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 695 of 707 resolved positions and is up $11.7M lifetime.
  • They bought Pipsqueak+4 at 33–34%, while the market has since risen to 48%.
  • Trading activity was 60x the recent average, adding support to the directional move.

$2,000 on Pipsqueak+4 | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf3ce...a57a Outcome 98730088, $15,959 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x3413...8ff2 Outcome 98730088, $10,136 (97% win rate)
  3. 0xef26...05ba Outcome 98730088, $9,405 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x2d39...6053 Outcome 98730088, $6,906 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x8d85...c436 Outcome 98730088, $4,928 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xdc3f...5e0d Outcome 98730088, $4,511 (88% win rate)
  7. 0xec98...afcd Outcome 98730088, $4,510 (61% win rate)
  8. 0xdc83...08f4 Outcome 98730088, $4,339 (73% win rate)
  9. 0xfa88...85a5 Outcome 98730088, $3,500 (73% win rate)
  10. 0xfb8f...5cd5 Outcome 98730088, $3,235 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$12,766 tracked4 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Aurora and Pipsqueak+4 in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Pipsqueak+4. This market will resolve to " Pipsqueak+4" if Pipsqueak+4 win Game 1 against Aurora. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “ Pipsqueak+4
100¢
63¢
25¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$1,948 on Aurora at 77¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$1,688 on Aurora at 76¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$7,129 on Aurora at 73¢

Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$2,000 on Pipsqueak+4 at 34¢

Related Theses