Part of: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $809,321.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Nigma Galaxy surge

A $562K coordinated move by three wallets into Nigma Galaxy, reinforced by an extreme pre-event volume spike, is worth surfacing despite the lead wallet already holding a large position.

  • Three wallets placed roughly $565K on Nigma Galaxy, showing strong one-sided conviction.
  • Trading volume spiked to 2,235 times the historical average before the match.
  • This wallet is adding to an existing $1.76M Nigma position, with recent entries averaging about 36¢.

$94,329 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 47%

Three-wallet Nigma Galaxy surge

A $562K coordinated move by three wallets into Nigma Galaxy, reinforced by an extreme pre-event volume spike, is worth surfacing despite the lead wallet already holding a large position.

  • Three wallets placed roughly $565K on Nigma Galaxy, showing strong one-sided conviction.
  • Trading volume spiked to 2,235 times the historical average before the match.
  • This wallet is adding to an existing $1.76M Nigma position, with recent entries averaging about 36¢.

$562,392 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 47%

24-wallet sharp esports cluster

A large esports-market rotation toward Nigma Galaxy involved 24 wallets and several highly profitable bettors, though many participants were adjusting existing positions and the market has since resolved at 100%.

  • 24 wallets bought $68,522 of Nigma Galaxy, alongside $47,700 of Falcons selling, signaling a major coordinated rotation toward Nigma.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including one bettor with 93% wins across 352 resolved positions and another with 89% across 162.
  • The trades occurred during a 30.9x volume spike, although many wallets were managing existing positions rather than opening entirely new ones.

$68,522 on Nigma Galaxy

97% winner adds to Falcons

A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate is adding to an existing Team Falcons position at 66%.

  • This bettor has won 153 of 158 resolved trades and is up $101,283 lifetime.
  • The wallet trades across 75 events and is adding $3,424 to Team Falcons at 66%.
  • The new purchase reinforces an existing $5,187 Falcons position rather than taking a routine profit.

$3,424 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%

Elite bettor backs Team Falcons

A highly experienced bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge placed a fresh $7,247 position on Team Falcons.

  • This bettor wins 92% of 646 resolved positions and is up $1.7 million.
  • The $7,247 buy adds meaningful conviction to Team Falcons at 68¢.
  • The trader has positioned across 701 markets and 451 events, indicating a broad, repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$7,247 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial trader backs Nigma

A highly experienced and profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a $1,844 position on the 33% Nigma Galaxy underdog.

  • This bettor wins 72% of 5,652 resolved trades and is up $1.54 million lifetime.
  • The trader has analyzed positions across 479 events and is buying Nigma Galaxy at 33%, despite the market pricing them as a 32% underdog.
  • The $1,844 bet adds fresh conviction in a liquid playoff market rather than merely managing an existing position.

$1,844 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp bettors backing Team Falcons

A sharp-heavy $81.5K Falcons push, including multiple proven profitable bettors, coincided with a 93x volume spike and a 15-point move in the market.

  • Twenty wallets committed $81,546 to Team Falcons, with several entries between 50¢ and 61¢ before the move to 64¢.
  • A leading bettor wins 91% of 45 resolved trades and is up $78,617, while other participants show substantial profitable track records.
  • The market saw a 93x historical volume spike and a 15-point Nigma Galaxy price move, though opposing Nigma activity makes this less one-sided than the raw cluster suggests.

$65,360 on Team Falcons

88% winner scaling into Falcons

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial edge is adding $3,202 to an existing Team Falcons position at 66%.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 89 resolved trades and is up $223,057 lifetime.
  • They are adding $3,202 to an existing Team Falcons position, reinforcing conviction at 66¢.
  • The 66¢ entry is near the market price and implies a strong but not extreme favorite position.

$3,202 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 90%

Elite bettor backs Team Falcons

A highly profitable bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is taking Team Falcons at 66%.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 1,365 resolved positions and earned $1.41M in profit.
  • The trade follows a proven cross-market trader active across 384 events with nearly $1M invested.
  • Team Falcons are being bought at 66%, broadly matching the market price and indicating strong conviction rather than a bargain entry.

$1,593 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 86%

93% win-rate bettor adds to Nigma

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 93% win rate is adding to an existing Nigma Galaxy position at 35 cents.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 71 resolved positions and is up $77,010.
  • The new $1,409 purchase adds to an existing $4,025 Nigma Galaxy position at 35 cents.
  • The entry price implies the bettor sees meaningful value against current market odds near 34%.

$1,409 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6ac5...4b6e Outcome 79795085, $197,872 (45% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 79795085, $148,457 (65% win rate)
  3. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 79795085, $86,500 (98% win rate)
  4. 0x1e52...eb43 Outcome 79795085, $81,112 (84% win rate)
  5. 0xed44...4f76 Outcome 79795085, $39,226 (62% win rate)
  6. 0x7e5e...7315 Outcome 79795085, $34,966 (48% win rate)
  7. 0xdc40...89cf Outcome 79795085, $30,787 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x9f15...bdb3 Outcome 79795085, $30,700 (75% win rate)
  9. 0x4ebc...a33d Outcome 79795085, $27,886 (62% win rate)
  10. 0x57b4...b46b Outcome 79795085, $26,694 (93% win rate)

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

ResolvedDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs$809,321 tracked10 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Nigma Galaxy
102¢
59¢
16¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

3d ago

$94,329 on Nigma Galaxy at 36¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

3d ago

$562,392 on Nigma Galaxy at 36¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

3d ago

$68,522 on Nigma Galaxy at 59¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

3d ago

$3,424 on Team Falcons at 66¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

3d ago

$7,247 on Team Falcons at 68¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

3d ago

$1,844 on Nigma Galaxy at 33¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

3d ago

$65,360 on Team Falcons at 58¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

4d ago

$3,202 on Team Falcons at 66¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

5d ago

$1,593 on Team Falcons at 66¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

6d ago

$1,409 on Nigma Galaxy at 35¢

Related Theses