Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

This Polymarket tracks the Dota 2 PGL Wallachia Playoffs upper bracket semifinal between PARIVISION and Aurora in a best-of-three series. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, ties, or delays beyond 7 days handled under the listed market rules. PolySpotter is currently tracking $3,054 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including recent PARIVISION and Aurora cluster alerts.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between PARIVISION and Aurora in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 24 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

20 smart money signals detected, totaling $219,638.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

94% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 94% win rate bought Aurora at 83¢, and the market has already moved to 90¢ in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $157k on roughly $501k invested
  • They trade across 161 markets and 117 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Aurora at 83¢ and the market is already up to 90¢, confirming immediate price follow-through

$1,990 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

77% win-rate esports bettor

A proven high-win-rate sports/esports trader with a large cross-market track record bought Aurora at 85¢ and the market has already moved to 90¢, making this a credible follow signal despite only one detection source.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $74.8k across 209 settled markets
  • They have traded 58 related markets across 42 events, which points to repeatable event-specific skill rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Aurora at 85¢ and the market is already at 90¢, showing immediate confirmation

$1,064 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 77%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A 6-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets across many markets and just put another $1.5k into Aurora, suggesting an aggressive new bettor worth monitoring despite limited proven results.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 29 large-bet alerts totaling $36.7k
  • They added another $1.5k on Aurora at 83¢, showing continued conviction rather than a one-off punt
  • The market is active and Aurora is already 85%, so this looks more like steady sizing from a high-risk new bettor than a thin-market anomaly

$1,492 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 67%

Aggressive new wallet on favorite

A 6-day-old wallet that has already made 29 large flagged bets added nearly $3k to Aurora during a sharp pre-match volume spike, suggesting aggressive repeat conviction despite a limited track record.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 29 large-bet alerts, showing unusually aggressive early activity.
  • It bought nearly $3k of Aurora at 81-83¢ and the market has already moved up to 88¢.
  • Market volume surged 11.6x above normal before the match, which backs the idea of informed pre-event positioning.

$2,984 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 67%

92% win-rate serial bettor

A very high-win-rate serial sports/esports trader bought Aurora in a market seeing unusual pre-match activity, making this a modest but still notable follow signal despite the heavy favorite price.

  • This bettor wins 92% of 1,348 resolved trades and has bet across 444 markets
  • They bought Aurora at 89¢, backing the heavy favorite even after a big surge in market activity
  • The market is active and liquid, so this looks more like a sharp confirmation bet than a random whale order

$1,261 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%

12-wallet contrarian cluster

A dozen wallets, including several with strong long-run records, piled into PARIVISION for $63.8k in a volatile esports market despite sharp price moves against them, signaling a real contrarian thesis worth watching.

  • 12 wallets put $63.8k behind PARIVISION in minutes, including several bettors with 91% to 92% win rates.
  • One sharp wallet is 365 for 399 on resolved markets, and another is 11 for 12 with a strong edge at roughly even odds.
  • They bought between 35¢ and 54¢ while PARIVISION has since fallen to 22¢, showing aggressive conviction into a fast-moving market.

$63,778 on PARIVISION

95% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable 95% win-rate bettor bought Aurora at 50¢ before a large coordinated move that pushed the price to 79¢, making this a strong sharp-money signal.

  • This bettor wins 95% of their trades and is up about $565k across 78 resolved markets.
  • They bought Aurora at 50¢ before the market jumped to 79¢, a very strong early entry.
  • 24 wallets piled into the same side for $75.5k total as Aurora surged 36 points.

$1,634 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp bettor in 24-wallet surge

A proven 88% win-rate bettor bought Aurora before a large coordinated move that pushed the price from 49¢ to 79¢, making this a strong momentum-and-sharp-money signal.

  • This bettor wins 88% of their trades and is up $339k across 668 resolved bets.
  • 24 wallets all bought Aurora for $75.5k total, and the price jumped 36 points after the wave hit.
  • This wallet got in at 49¢, far below the current 79¢ price, showing strong conviction before the market repriced.

$1,202 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 88%

24-wallet Aurora pile-in

A very new repeat bettor joined a 24-wallet one-sided rush into Aurora during a major volume spike and sharp price move, which is notable coordinated conviction even though this wallet’s own track record is limited.

  • 24 wallets all bought Aurora for $75.5k total, a strong one-sided signal on this match
  • This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 28 large-bet alerts and put more money to work here at 81¢
  • Market volume ran 56x above normal and Aurora jumped 36 points, showing real momentum behind the move

$1,492 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 67%

13-wallet Aurora cluster

A 13-wallet burst put nearly $45k on Aurora around 46-48¢ in a fast volume spike, creating a strong coordinated directional signal even though the individual wallet records are mixed.

  • 13 wallets piled into Aurora for $44.7k in minutes, with most buys clustered at 46-48¢
  • Market activity spiked 55x versus normal, which suggests this match drew unusually concentrated attention
  • Several wallets are active cross-market esports traders, and the group got in below the current 50¢ line

$44,696 on Aurora

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 PARIVISION, $134,852 (87% win rate)
  2. 0x3ef4...4f5e Aurora, $103,600
  3. 0xa5ea...d96a Aurora, $73,864 (53% win rate)
  4. 0xba38...e406 Aurora, $61,270 (54% win rate)
  5. 0xb042...204c PARIVISION, $56,152 (31% win rate)
  6. 0xc44f...d49f PARIVISION, $49,292 (63% win rate)
  7. 0xd6f5...f3b5 PARIVISION, $48,064 (75% win rate)
  8. 0xcd36...0f01 Aurora, $34,264
  9. 0x7d11...99ca PARIVISION, $28,464 (92% win rate)
  10. 0xc156...f76c PARIVISION, $27,181 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

1h$219,638 tracked20 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
PARIVISION
0¢
Aurora
100¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between PARIVISION and Aurora in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 24 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Aurora
102¢
63¢
24¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

56m ago

$1,990 on Aurora at 83¢

83¢100¢17¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

56m ago

$1,064 on Aurora at 85¢

85¢100¢15¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

1h ago

$1,492 on Aurora at 83¢

83¢100¢17¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

1h ago

$2,984 on Aurora at 82¢

82¢100¢18¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

1h ago

$1,261 on Aurora at 89¢

89¢100¢11¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

1h ago

$63,778 on PARIVISION at 48¢

48¢0¢48¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

1h ago

$1,634 on Aurora at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

1h ago

$1,202 on Aurora at 49¢

49¢100¢51¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

1h ago

$1,492 on Aurora at 81¢

81¢100¢19¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

1h ago

$44,696 on Aurora at 47¢

47¢100¢53¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

1h ago

$10,651 on PARIVISION at 54¢

54¢0¢54¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

2h ago

$19,718 on PARIVISION at 53¢

53¢0¢53¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

2h ago

$23,151 on PARIVISION at 53¢

53¢0¢53¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

3h ago

$3,525 on PARIVISION at 75¢

75¢0¢75¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

3h ago

$5,302 on PARIVISION at 66¢

66¢0¢66¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

4h ago

$2,956 on PARIVISION at 51¢

51¢0¢51¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

4h ago

$9,856 on PARIVISION at 52¢

52¢0¢52¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

4h ago

$14,782 on PARIVISION at 52¢

52¢0¢52¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

4h ago

$6,897 on PARIVISION at 51¢

51¢0¢51¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

4h ago

$1,206 on Aurora at 49¢

49¢100¢51¢

Related Theses

PARIVISION vs Aurora Odds | Polymarket Dota 2 | PolySpotter