Part of: Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $79,660.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

94% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 94% win rate bought PARIVISION at 10¢ before the price tripled to 30¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $2.08M across 223 resolved markets.
  • They bought PARIVISION at 10¢ and the price quickly moved to 30¢, showing strong early edge.
  • This wallet has traded 473 markets across 379 events, so this is a proven repeat performer rather than a one-off bet.

$2,448 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 94%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A 6-day-old wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and is again buying Aurora into a fast price move, suggesting aggressive conviction despite limited track record.

  • This 6-day-old wallet has already triggered 27 large-bet alerts with $33.7k flagged total
  • They bought Aurora at 71¢ as the price jumped about 24 points in 4 minutes
  • The market is liquid enough that this looks like deliberate conviction, not just a random small punt

$1,586 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable 5-wallet cluster

A profitable, highly active cross-market trader from a 5-wallet funded cluster just sold Aurora at 89¢ into a sharp move, which converts to a contrarian buy on PARIVISION around 11¢.

  • This wallet has 509 resolved bets, wins 63% of the time, and is up $169k.
  • Five wallets funded by the same source have put in $7.8k across prior runs, showing coordinated conviction.
  • This trade sold Aurora at 89¢, which is equivalent to buying PARIVISION at 11¢ before Aurora fell to 76¢.

$1,492 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp bettor fading favorite

A proven high-win-rate bettor sold Aurora at 89¢ before a sharp 13-point drop, which translates to a copyable buy on PARIVISION around 11¢ in a sports market with meaningful price movement.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $42k overall.
  • They sold Aurora at 89¢, which is equivalent to buying PARIVISION at 11¢ before the market moved hard.
  • The price has already dropped from 89¢ to 76¢ on Aurora, showing this call was early and profitable.

$1,758 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 80%

4-wallet contrarian cluster

A linked 4-wallet cluster with at least two profitable, high-volume bettors made a concentrated contrarian buy into PARIVISION before a sharp collapse from 36-56¢ to 10¢, making this a notable but high-risk signal to study.

  • Four linked wallets put nearly $14.8k on PARIVISION in a coordinated burst, showing clear shared conviction
  • One wallet wins 84% of resolved bets and another is up $169k lifetime, so this is not just random flow
  • They bought between 36¢ and 56¢, but the market is now 10¢ after a violent swing, making it a very high-upside contrarian entry if their read is right

$14,825 on PARIVISION

94% winner in 10-wallet surge

A proven sharp sports wallet with a 94% win rate bought Aurora at 43¢ as part of a 10-wallet one-sided wave that pushed the price sharply higher.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $2.08M across 223 resolved positions.
  • 10 wallets piled into Aurora for $61.4k total, and the price jumped about 29 points after the buys.
  • They got in at 43¢ while the market now sits near 51¢, showing strong early conviction before the move.

$4,647 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

95% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet bought Aurora at 44¢ alongside a 10-wallet $61k one-sided wave that pushed the price sharply higher.

  • This bettor wins 95% of their trades and is up about $565k across 78 resolved markets.
  • 10 wallets piled into Aurora for $61k total, and the price jumped nearly 29 points.
  • They bought at 44¢ and the market is already at 51¢, showing the move started working fast.

$1,651 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%

92% winner joins 10-wallet surge

A high-win-rate sports trader joined a 10-wallet $61k one-sided move into Aurora as the price surged, making this a strong follow signal despite the modest individual ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up $27k on about $84k invested.
  • 10 wallets piled into Aurora for $61k total, pushing the price up nearly 29 points.
  • Bought at 50¢ in a liquid match market, suggesting they saw Aurora as meaningfully mispriced.

$2,930 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp cluster buying Aurora

Multiple proven winning wallets piled into Aurora around 43-44¢ during a sharp pre-match volume surge, making this a coordinated esports bet worth watching despite opposing flow on the other side.

  • Three of the four wallets have strong records, led by one bettor winning 94% of 223 resolved trades and up $2.08M
  • Four wallets bought nearly $19k of Aurora at 43-44¢ within about 90 seconds, showing coordinated conviction
  • The market saw a 33x volume spike before the match, and this entry implies they think Aurora is mispriced below a 50-50 shot

$18,959 on Aurora

6-wallet PARIVISION push

This looks worth surfacing because a high-volume cross-market bettor with 1,500 resolved trades joined a 6-wallet one-sided push into PARIVISION during a sharp pre-match volume surge.

  • Six wallets all bought PARIVISION, putting $25.2k behind the same side.
  • This wallet has 1,500 resolved bets, wins 60% of them, and is up about $90k lifetime.
  • Market activity jumped 33x versus normal before the match, showing real momentum behind this move.

$1,610 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 10870552, $88,318 (97% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 10870552, $68,623 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 10870552, $24,478 (94% win rate)
  4. 0xef62...cf76 Outcome 10870552, $18,598 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x4047...7293 Outcome 10870552, $10,008 (55% win rate)
  6. 0xec92...6b59 Outcome 10870552, $8,888 (84% win rate)
  7. 0x3601...44fb Outcome 10870552, $6,914 (92% win rate)
  8. 0x1c8f...4d12 Outcome 10870552, $6,094 (91% win rate)
  9. 0xc0f5...3d04 Outcome 10870552, $5,932 (74% win rate)
  10. 0xf3ef...ca6b Outcome 10870552, $5,568 (60% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$79,660 tracked15 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between PARIVISION and Aurora in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 24 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against PARIVISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$2,448 on PARIVISION at 10¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$1,586 on Aurora at 71¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$1,492 on PARIVISION at 11¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$1,758 on PARIVISION at 11¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$14,825 on PARIVISION at 10¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$4,647 on Aurora at 43¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$1,651 on Aurora at 44¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$2,930 on Aurora at 50¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$18,959 on Aurora at 43¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$1,610 on PARIVISION at 56¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$8,826 on PARIVISION at 27¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$1,181 on Aurora at 48¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$2,959 on PARIVISION at 54¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$5,915 on PARIVISION at 53¢

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

45d ago

$8,872 on PARIVISION at 53¢

Related Theses