Part of: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Yandex and Nigma Galaxy in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Team Yandex. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $346,846.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Five-wallet Nigma Galaxy conviction
Five wallets placed $125,426 of coordinated Nigma Galaxy bets during a 161x volume spike, despite the lead wallet's weak win rate and existing position.
- Five wallets are betting Nigma Galaxy, with combined one-sided buying of about $125,000.
- Trading volume surged to 161 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong event-specific interest.
- The lead wallet added roughly $94,000 near 36¢, but its 46% win rate makes this less compelling as a proven-bettor copy.
- copy_action
$31,370 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 48%
Sharp bettor scaling into Yandex
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to Team Yandex alongside two other buyers during an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 105 of 111 resolved trades, up $38,622 on $163,102 invested.
- They are adding to an existing Team Yandex position at 65¢ while three wallets collectively bought $24,311.
- Market activity is running 348.9 times its historical average, reinforcing the one-sided Team Yandex signal.
$1,076 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 91%
22-wallet Yandex betting surge
A $108,568 Team Yandex push across 22 wallets includes several highly profitable esports traders, though substantial opposing Nigma flow makes the signal less one-sided than the headline cluster suggests.
- Twenty-two wallets committed $108,568 to Team Yandex, including traders with 86% and 90% historical win rates.
- The market moved sharply down to 60% for Yandex, creating a potentially better entry than the cluster’s roughly 60–76¢ purchases.
- The signal is contested: another 25-wallet cluster bought $78,192 of Nigma Galaxy, so this is high-conviction but not a clean consensus trade.
$108,568 on Team Yandex
Five-wallet Nigma Galaxy conviction
Five wallets placed $125,426 of coordinated Nigma Galaxy bets during a 161x volume spike, despite the lead wallet's weak win rate and existing position.
- Five wallets are betting Nigma Galaxy, with combined one-sided buying of about $125,000.
- Trading volume surged to 161 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong event-specific interest.
- The lead wallet added roughly $94,000 near 36¢, but its 46% win rate makes this less compelling as a proven-bettor copy.
- copy_action
$94,351 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 48%
23-wallet sharp bettor cluster
A large, highly coordinated Nigma Galaxy position included several demonstrably sharp bettors, though the market has since moved decisively against the trade and makes it unsuitable to copy now.
- Twenty-three wallets committed $72,628 to Nigma Galaxy, including bettors with 88%–97% historical win rates and substantial profits.
- The coordinated flow preceded a 33.8-point move toward Team Yandex, making this a notable example of a high-conviction thesis that appears to have failed.
- Nigma Galaxy was bought mostly between 39¢ and 56¢, but the market now prices it at effectively 0¢; this is worth studying, not chasing.
$72,628 on Nigma Galaxy
Sharp bettor scaling into Yandex
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate is adding to Team Yandex alongside two other buyers during an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 105 of 111 resolved trades, up $38,622 on $163,102 invested.
- They are adding to an existing Team Yandex position at 65¢ while three wallets collectively bought $24,311.
- Market activity is running 348.9 times its historical average, reinforcing the one-sided Team Yandex signal.
$2,000 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 91%
92% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial esports trader with a 92% win rate and substantial demonstrated edge placed a fresh $2,680 bet on Team Yandex at 67%.
- This bettor has won 92% of 657 resolved positions and is up $1.72 million.
- The wallet has demonstrated a large edge, winning at average odds of 56% while investing across 715 markets.
- A fresh $2,680 buy backs Team Yandex at 67%, making this a strong copy-trade signal in a liquid esports market.
$2,680 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 93%
92% winner backs Team Yandex
A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate and substantial implied edge placed a fresh $6,062 position on Team Yandex amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 92% of 657 resolved trades and earned $1.72 million in profit.
- The wallet made a fresh $6,062 purchase of Team Yandex around 65–66¢, despite the market already implying a 66% chance.
- Trading volume surged to 122 times its historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$8,742 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 93%
92% winner backs Team Yandex
A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate and substantial implied edge placed a fresh $6,062 position on Team Yandex amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 92% of 657 resolved trades and earned $1.72 million in profit.
- The wallet made a fresh $6,062 purchase of Team Yandex around 65–66¢, despite the market already implying a 66% chance.
- Trading volume surged to 122 times its historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$6,062 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 93%
Elite serial bettor backs Team Yandex
A highly proven esports bettor with an 85% win rate and $1.49M profit is making a fresh $3,234 wager on Team Yandex at 66%.
- This bettor wins 85% of 1,401 resolved positions and is up $1.49M lifetime.
- The $3,234 bet adds fresh conviction to Team Yandex at 66% in a liquid esports market.
- The wallet has traded across 393 events and 464 markets, showing extensive repeat experience rather than a one-off wager.
$3,234 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 88%
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