Part of: Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Tundra Esports and Natus Vincere in DreamLeague Group B, scheduled for May 16 at 1:00 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $25,543 in smart money across 7 signals, with recent sharp activity highlighting buying on NAVI. The market resolves on May 16, 2026, based on the official Game 1 winner.

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Tundra Esports and Natus Vincere in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 16 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Tundra Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,543.

Categories: Dota 2, Games, Sports, Esports

Notable Trades

91% sharp esports bettor

A highly profitable 91% win-rate bettor bought Natus Vincere at 60¢, coinciding with a rapid 33.5-point price move to 66¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $152k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 62 events with the same 91% hit rate.
  • Natus Vincere moved sharply upward after the buy, from around 60¢ to 66¢ in minutes.

$1,500 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial trader momentum

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Natus Vincere as the price rapidly surged, combining track record with strong short-term momentum.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 295 resolved bets and is up $21,670 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 47 events and 53 markets.
  • Natus Vincere jumped sharply in 5 minutes, and this buy at 63¢ is already trading around 66¢.

$1,417 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 66%

92% winner backs underdog

Sharp 92% winner with positive P&L bought Tundra, supported by one-sided flow from three wallets and a pre-event volume spike despite price moving against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets and is up $7.6K lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same Tundra side, totaling $5.8K in coordinated one-way flow.
  • They entered Tundra at 54¢, while the market now prices it near 37¢.

$1,086 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% win-rate esports sharp

Surface: a highly profitable esports bettor with a 91% resolved win record is buying Tundra, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $150,921 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 62 events with the same 91% hit rate.
  • Bought Tundra at 66¢ before the market moved to 70¢, with volume spiking 26x.

$2,100 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp cluster buying NAVI

Strong Natus Vincere buy signal from a one-sided 5-wallet cluster, including a 91% winning bettor with $152k profit and a rapid 33.5-point price move.

  • A bettor who wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $152k bought Natus Vincere twice.
  • Five wallets bought the same side for $8.5k, pushing Natus Vincere from the low 50s to 66¢.
  • Several wallets are serial esports traders with large profitable histories, including one up $268k lifetime.

$8,504 on Natus Vincere

93% win-rate esports sharp

Elite 93% win-rate esports bettor with strong lifetime profit is buying Natus Vincere at 43¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike and linked-wallet activity.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $340K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 138 events, 201 markets, and $548K traded.
  • A $4.3K buy at 43¢ came during a 1000x pre-event volume spike, signaling strong late interest.

$4,258 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%

96% win-rate esports sharp

Elite profitable wallet with a 96% record and heavy cross-market history is buying Natus Vincere before a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $2.1M lifetime.
  • They have traded 255 markets across 108 events with a 96% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Their $6.7K Natus Vincere buy came during a 1000x pre-event volume spike and was nearly a full day’s prior volume.

$6,677 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe84a...702d Tundra Esports, $119,433 (54% win rate)
  2. 0xfe9c...4cb4 Natus Vincere, $35,000 (98% win rate)
  3. 0xe16d...5e30 Natus Vincere, $26,374 (96% win rate)
  4. 0xb489...de6b Natus Vincere, $23,491 (99% win rate)
  5. 0x87da...53d1 Tundra Esports, $16,263 (71% win rate)
  6. 0xba8c...e77d Natus Vincere, $15,500 (90% win rate)
  7. 0x6049...f14f Natus Vincere, $14,510
  8. 0x4569...e624 Natus Vincere, $13,460
  9. 0x7714...b814 Tundra Esports, $10,009 (64% win rate)
  10. 0xfe15...80b5 Natus Vincere, $9,916 (97% win rate)

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Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

1hDota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$25,543 tracked7 signalsDota 2GamesSportsEsports
Tundra Esports
0¢
Natus Vincere
100¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Tundra Esports and Natus Vincere in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 16 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Tundra Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
102¢
72¢
42¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

1h ago

$1,500 on Natus Vincere at 60¢

60¢100¢40¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

1h ago

$1,417 on Natus Vincere at 63¢

63¢100¢37¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

1h ago

$1,086 on Tundra Esports at 54¢

54¢0¢54¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

1h ago

$2,100 on Tundra Esports at 66¢

66¢0¢66¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

1h ago

$8,504 on Natus Vincere at 56¢

56¢100¢44¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$4,258 on Natus Vincere at 43¢

43¢100¢57¢

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$6,677 on Natus Vincere at 45¢

45¢100¢55¢

Related Theses