Part of: Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Tundra Esports and Natus Vincere in DreamLeague Group B, scheduled for May 16 at 1:00 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $25,543 in smart money across 7 signals, with recent sharp activity highlighting buying on NAVI. The market resolves on May 16, 2026, based on the official Game 1 winner.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Tundra Esports and Natus Vincere in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 16 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against Tundra Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,543.
Categories: Dota 2, Games, Sports, Esports
Notable Trades
91% sharp esports bettor
A highly profitable 91% win-rate bettor bought Natus Vincere at 60¢, coinciding with a rapid 33.5-point price move to 66¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $152k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 62 events with the same 91% hit rate.
- Natus Vincere moved sharply upward after the buy, from around 60¢ to 66¢ in minutes.
$1,500 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial trader momentum
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Natus Vincere as the price rapidly surged, combining track record with strong short-term momentum.
- This bettor has won 66% of 295 resolved bets and is up $21,670 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 47 events and 53 markets.
- Natus Vincere jumped sharply in 5 minutes, and this buy at 63¢ is already trading around 66¢.
$1,417 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 66%
92% winner backs underdog
Sharp 92% winner with positive P&L bought Tundra, supported by one-sided flow from three wallets and a pre-event volume spike despite price moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets and is up $7.6K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same Tundra side, totaling $5.8K in coordinated one-way flow.
- They entered Tundra at 54¢, while the market now prices it near 37¢.
$1,086 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% win-rate esports sharp
Surface: a highly profitable esports bettor with a 91% resolved win record is buying Tundra, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $150,921 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 62 events with the same 91% hit rate.
- Bought Tundra at 66¢ before the market moved to 70¢, with volume spiking 26x.
$2,100 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp cluster buying NAVI
Strong Natus Vincere buy signal from a one-sided 5-wallet cluster, including a 91% winning bettor with $152k profit and a rapid 33.5-point price move.
- A bettor who wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $152k bought Natus Vincere twice.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $8.5k, pushing Natus Vincere from the low 50s to 66¢.
- Several wallets are serial esports traders with large profitable histories, including one up $268k lifetime.
$8,504 on Natus Vincere
93% win-rate esports sharp
Elite 93% win-rate esports bettor with strong lifetime profit is buying Natus Vincere at 43¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike and linked-wallet activity.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $340K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 138 events, 201 markets, and $548K traded.
- A $4.3K buy at 43¢ came during a 1000x pre-event volume spike, signaling strong late interest.
$4,258 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%
96% win-rate esports sharp
Elite profitable wallet with a 96% record and heavy cross-market history is buying Natus Vincere before a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- They have traded 255 markets across 108 events with a 96% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Their $6.7K Natus Vincere buy came during a 1000x pre-event volume spike and was nearly a full day’s prior volume.
$6,677 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0xe84a...702d — Tundra Esports, $119,433 (54% win rate)
- 0xfe9c...4cb4 — Natus Vincere, $35,000 (98% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Natus Vincere, $26,374 (96% win rate)
- 0xb489...de6b — Natus Vincere, $23,491 (99% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — Tundra Esports, $16,263 (71% win rate)
- 0xba8c...e77d — Natus Vincere, $15,500 (90% win rate)
- 0x6049...f14f — Natus Vincere, $14,510
- 0x4569...e624 — Natus Vincere, $13,460
- 0x7714...b814 — Tundra Esports, $10,009 (64% win rate)
- 0xfe15...80b5 — Natus Vincere, $9,916 (97% win rate)
