Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
29 signals across 3 markets · $137,934 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This event tracks the DreamLeague Group B best-of-three Dota 2 match between Tundra Esports and Natus Vincere, with prediction-market odds on which team wins the series. PolySpotter has flagged $1,050 in smart money activity, including a notable signal that 86% of winner backing is on the underdog.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp esports cluster buying Tundra
High-conviction Tundra buy cluster led by multiple proven sharp esports wallets with 91–93% win rates and substantial lifetime profits, despite opposing flow on NAVI.
$23,161Score: 36.3 - Sharp cluster buying NAVI
Strong Natus Vincere buy signal from a one-sided 5-wallet cluster, including a 91% winning bettor with $152k profit and a rapid 33.5-point price move.
$8,504Score: 28.2 - 93% sharp in Tundra cluster
A highly profitable 93% win-rate esports bettor is buying Tundra alongside coordinated one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$3,727Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 26.0 - Profitable cluster buying underdog
Five profitable wallets, including a 93% winner and other serial esports bettors, coordinated $26.7k of Natus Vincere buys at 54–55¢ despite the market moving against them to 36¢.
$26,708Score: 22.8 - Elite sharps backing underdog
Surface: two highly profitable wallets with 91–96% win rates joined a 3-wallet NAVI buy cluster, despite the market later moving against their entries.
$7,395Score: 21.6 - 93% win-rate esports sharp
Elite 93% win-rate esports bettor with strong lifetime profit is buying Natus Vincere at 43¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike and linked-wallet activity.
$4,258Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 18.0 - 91% sharp esports bettor
A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Natus Vincere, despite the position moving against them since entry.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 14.0 - 91% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet bought Natus Vincere and has a long serial cross-market track record, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal despite the price pulling back.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 14.0 - 36-0 sharp on Tundra
Elite 36-0 wallet bought Tundra at 43¢ before the market moved to 66¢, with cross-market history and one-sided flow supporting the signal.
$2,775Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 13.6 - 96% win-rate esports sharp
Surfacing because a highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor with extensive cross-market history bought Natus Vincere despite being the underdog.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 13.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x0dcf5b…c556$14,126 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x1c8ff5…4d12$9,100 · 3 markets · 6 alerts · 91% wins
- 0x9eca63…5a59$8,219 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0xf3ce7f…a57a$7,985 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0xe16d3f…5e30$7,677 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 98% wins
- 0xf05432…eae7$7,671 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 59% wins
- 0x03f8db…d85a$5,500 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x393607…366d$2,775 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xc0f534…3d04$2,157 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0xb517cf…434b$1,903 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere odds?
The event market prices the chance that either Tundra Esports or Natus Vincere wins the BO3 match. Check the live Polymarket odds on the event page for the latest implied probabilities.
Is there smart money on Tundra vs Natus Vincere?
Yes. PolySpotter is tracking $1,050 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal highlighting that 86% of winner backing is on the underdog.
What does the underdog backing signal mean?
It means a large share of tracked winning or high-conviction bettor activity is leaning toward the team priced as the underdog. It does not guarantee the result, but it can point to where sharper traders see value.
When does the Tundra vs Natus Vincere market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the DreamLeague Group B BO3 match has a winner, with the listed resolution deadline of May 16, 2026 at 23:00 UTC.
How does this Dota 2 prediction market settle?
The market resolves to Tundra Esports if Tundra wins the match, or to Natus Vincere if NAVI wins. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules without a winner, settlement follows Polymarket’s event terms.