Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
15 signals across 3 markets · $66,870 tracked · resolves May 16, 2026
This event tracks the DreamLeague Group B best-of-three Dota 2 match between Tundra Esports and Natus Vincere, with prediction-market odds on which team wins the series. PolySpotter has flagged $1,050 in smart money activity, including a notable signal that 86% of winner backing is on the underdog.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster buying NAVI
Strong Natus Vincere buy signal from a one-sided 5-wallet cluster, including a 91% winning bettor with $152k profit and a rapid 33.5-point price move.
$8,504Score: 28.2 - Profitable cluster buying underdog
Five profitable wallets, including a 93% winner and other serial esports bettors, coordinated $26.7k of Natus Vincere buys at 54–55¢ despite the market moving against them to 36¢.
$26,708Score: 22.8 - 93% win-rate esports sharp
Elite 93% win-rate esports bettor with strong lifetime profit is buying Natus Vincere at 43¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike and linked-wallet activity.
$4,258Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 18.0 - 96% win-rate esports sharp
Elite profitable wallet with a 96% record and heavy cross-market history is buying Natus Vincere before a sharp pre-event volume spike.
$6,677Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 12.0 - 91% sharp esports bettor
A highly profitable 91% win-rate bettor bought Natus Vincere at 60¢, coinciding with a rapid 33.5-point price move to 66¢.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 11.4 - 90% winner buying Tundra
Sharp esports bettor with a 90% record and $206k profit is buying Tundra at 48¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$1,903Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 10.7 - 91% win-rate esports sharp
Surface: a highly profitable esports bettor with a 91% resolved win record is buying Tundra, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-event volume spike.
$2,100Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 9.6 - 91% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet bought Tundra at 70% and the market quickly moved to 100%, confirming the sharp signal but leaving little room to chase.
$1,100Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 9.0 - 93% winner backs underdog
Elite 93% win-rate wallet with $2.7M profit bought Natus Vincere at 48¢, backed by a long serial cross-market betting record.
$2,886Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 8.0 - Profitable serial trader momentum
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Natus Vincere as the price rapidly surged, combining track record with strong short-term momentum.
$1,417Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 6.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe16d3f…5e30$6,677 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x0dcf5b…c556$5,390 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0x1c8ff5…4d12$4,700 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 91% wins
- 0xf3ce7f…a57a$4,258 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0xf05432…eae7$2,776 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x03f8db…d85a$2,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xb517cf…434b$1,903 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x3cf5d7…8483$1,417 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0x74b75e…8b0b$1,086 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x457477…273d$1,050 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere odds?
The event market prices the chance that either Tundra Esports or Natus Vincere wins the BO3 match. Check the live Polymarket odds on the event page for the latest implied probabilities.
Is there smart money on Tundra vs Natus Vincere?
Yes. PolySpotter is tracking $1,050 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal highlighting that 86% of winner backing is on the underdog.
What does the underdog backing signal mean?
It means a large share of tracked winning or high-conviction bettor activity is leaning toward the team priced as the underdog. It does not guarantee the result, but it can point to where sharper traders see value.
When does the Tundra vs Natus Vincere market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the DreamLeague Group B BO3 match has a winner, with the listed resolution deadline of May 16, 2026 at 23:00 UTC.
How does this Dota 2 prediction market settle?
The market resolves to Tundra Esports if Tundra wins the match, or to Natus Vincere if NAVI wins. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules without a winner, settlement follows Polymarket’s event terms.