Part of: Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market asks who will win Game 2 of the DreamLeague Group B Dota 2 match between Tundra Esports and Natus Vincere. It resolves based on the official Game 2 winner, with resolution scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 21:00 UTC; PolySpotter is tracking $1,903 in smart money and 1 signal for this market.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Tundra Esports and Natus Vincere in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 16 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Tundra Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,373.
Categories: Dota 2, Games, Sports, Esports
Notable Trades
91% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet bought Tundra at 70% and the market quickly moved to 100%, confirming the sharp signal but leaving little room to chase.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $156k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 97 markets with the same 91% hit rate.
- Bought Tundra at 70% before the market moved to 100%, so this was a strong signal but likely too late to chase.
$1,100 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Natus Vincere at 29¢ before the market moved sharply to 42¢, showing a strong timed entry despite only moderate alert severity.
- This bettor is up $79.6K lifetime with a 60% record across 94 resolved trades.
- They have traded across 41 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 29¢ has already moved to 42¢, so the market has started validating their position.
$2,776 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 60%
90% winner buying Tundra
Sharp esports bettor with a 90% record and $206k profit is buying Tundra at 48¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $206k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 58 events with the same 90% hit rate.
- Entry at 48¢ suggests they see Tundra as underpriced versus the current near-coinflip market.
$1,903 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable cluster buying underdog
Five profitable wallets, including a 93% winner and other serial esports bettors, coordinated $26.7k of Natus Vincere buys at 54–55¢ despite the market moving against them to 36¢.
- Five wallets all bought Natus Vincere the same way, totaling $26.7k in a short window.
- The cluster includes a bettor who wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $343k lifetime.
- Several wallets have long profitable records, including one up $851k across 979 resolved bets.
$26,708 on Natus Vincere
93% winner backs underdog
Elite 93% win-rate wallet with $2.7M profit bought Natus Vincere at 48¢, backed by a long serial cross-market betting record.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $2.7M lifetime.
- They have bet across 430 events with the same 93% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 48¢ backs Natus Vincere as a slight underdog despite the market showing Tundra favored.
$2,886 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0xffe9...a70e — Tundra Esports, $36,247
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Natus Vincere, $25,386 (91% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Natus Vincere, $21,534 (93% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — Natus Vincere, $18,362 (71% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Tundra Esports, $15,555 (43% win rate)
- 0xf3ce...a57a — Natus Vincere, $13,448 (93% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Natus Vincere, $11,750 (61% win rate)
- 0xa8f1...fee6 — Natus Vincere, $10,000 (8% win rate)
- 0xf054...eae7 — Natus Vincere, $9,701 (60% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Tundra Esports, $8,690 (50% win rate)
