Part of: Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
This prediction market asks whether Elon Musk’s net worth will reach or exceed $1 trillion on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index at any point by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the market’s live odds and smart money activity, including $14,289 in tracked smart money and 1 signal so far.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $14,289.
Categories: Elon Musk, Tech, Business, Tesla, Big Tech
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market whale
Large $14.3k Yes buy by a serial cross-market trader in a very quiet market, though the wallet is slightly down lifetime.
- This bettor has won 78% of 194 resolved bets across a large cross-market history.
- The $14.3k buy was about 44x this market’s last-24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet book.
- They paid 90¢ for Yes while the market now sits near 86¢, implying they still see Elon reaching $1T as highly likely.
$14,289 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x0856...b042 — No, $21,904
- 0xcd4b...8aa4 — Yes, $18,666 (78% win rate)
- 0x4e42...49ed — No, $12,363 (60% win rate)
- 0x7c38...1218 — No, $7,549 (48% win rate)
- 0x665b...73ba — Yes, $7,383
- 0x4181...de86 — No, $4,810 (48% win rate)
- 0x5494...faac — Yes, $4,671 (51% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — No, $3,877
- 0xee69...05d0 — Yes, $3,800
- 0x5f21...b376 — No, $3,294
Related Theses
Musk becomes trillionaire by 2027
Covers 1 related market
