What does the Extended FDV above $300M market predict?

It predicts whether Extended’s token will reach a fully diluted valuation greater than $300 million one day after launch. If the FDV is above $300M at the specified resolution time, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.

How is Extended’s FDV calculated for this market?

FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable for the launch to count.

When does this Extended FDV market resolve?

The market resolves based on the FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Extended’s token launch. The listed resolution date is January 1, 2027, though the actual trigger depends on the token launch timing and market rules.

What are smart money signals showing for this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,300 in smart money activity across 1 signal. Recent alerts include a new wallet betting No, a thin-market whale alert, and a high-win-rate trader buying No.

Where can I follow Extended token prediction market odds?

You can follow this market on PolySpotter to monitor Polymarket-style odds, smart money flows, and alerts related to whether Extended’s FDV will exceed $300 million after launch.

Part of: Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether Extended’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $300 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its launch. It resolves based on total token supply multiplied by token price, with the token required to be publicly transferable and tradable. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,300 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including recent No-side buying alerts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,100.

Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Extended, FDV

Notable Trades

95% winner buying No

Sharp-wallet override: a 95% winner with positive lifetime P&L is buying No at 52¢ on a crypto FDV market despite only a modest cross-market signal.

This bettor has won 75 of 79 resolved trades and is up about $9.3K lifetime.
They bought No at 52¢, implying they think the market is underpricing the chance Extended stays below $300M FDV.
The wallet has also positioned across another related market in the same event, suggesting a broader thesis.

$1,300 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

$29K thin-market whale

A $29K Yes buy on a thin, wide-spread crypto FDV market looks like a high-conviction position despite no wallet track record.

A single wallet put $29K on Yes, over 35x the low 24h volume flagged at the time.
The market has moved up 11 points in a day, so this buy aligns with strong recent momentum.
Entry around 49¢ implies the bettor sees near-even odds as mispriced.

$29,000 on Yes

New wallet betting No

A 5-day-old repeat large bettor is taking a $2.8K No position on a quiet crypto launch FDV market, with size well above recent 24h volume but no proven track record yet.

A 5-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets, putting $2.8K on No across this event.
The position is large for current activity, at over 3x the market’s $817 24h volume.
This is a crypto launch valuation market where informed views on token supply, listing price, or launch timing can matter.

$2,800 on No