Part of: Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
This prediction market asks whether Extended’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $800 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and the token must be publicly transferable and tradable to count as launched. PolySpotter is tracking $4,050 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,050.
Categories: Crypto, Pre-Market, Extended, FDV
Notable Trades
95% winner buying longshot
Sharp profitable wallet with a 95% resolved-bet record is effectively buying Yes at 10¢ with a $4,050 bet that is large versus recent volume.
- This bettor has won 75 of 79 resolved bets and is up $9.3k lifetime.
- The $4,050 trade equals about 74% of the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market.
- Selling No at 90¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 10¢, a longshot position with high upside.
$4,050 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xab82...abe5 — Yes, $44,707 (48% win rate)
- 0xba0d...9a6e — No, $20,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x51a4...02d6 — Yes, $19,189
- 0x2d85...c543 — No, $14,296
- 0x6138...97a0 — No, $13,983 (51% win rate)
- 0x5633...eb7c — No, $8,216
- 0xc091...e7d0 — No, $4,614 (95% win rate)
- 0xe23e...0b69 — No, $3,500
- 0xebd3...446d — No, $3,309 (100% win rate)
- 0xee67...ef38 — Yes, $3,229 (68% win rate)
Related Theses
Extended FDV below $300M
Covers 2 related markets
