Part of: UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Fight to Go the Distance?

This prediction market asks whether Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim will go the full scheduled number of rounds and be decided by judges. It resolves “Yes” if the fight reaches the scorecards, including a judges’ draw after all rounds, and “No” if it ends early or by a technical decision/draw before the final bell. The market is scheduled to resolve by June 7, 2026, with PolySpotter tracking $2,522 in smart money and 1 smart money signal so far.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,522.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume MMA/sports bettor made a $2.5k concentrated No bet on an extremely quiet market, totaling about 50x the prior 24h volume.

  • This bettor is up $164k lifetime across nearly 8,000 resolved trades.
  • They put $2.5k on No in a market with only $25 of 24h volume.
  • They have traded 42 related sports events before, winning 65% of resolved bets.

$2,522 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6a32...0086 Outcome 28792826, $4,000 (79% win rate)
  2. 0x9a0c...14ce Outcome 28792826, $70
  3. 0xd051...53e1 Outcome 28792826, $61
  4. 0xcb3b...a2b6 Outcome 28792826, $37
  5. 0x2953...2ed5 Outcome 23490633, $25
  6. 0xb518...3403 Outcome 28792826, $10
  7. 0x807f...9615 Outcome 23490633, $10
  8. 0x2f2b...0f9a Outcome 28792826, $5 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x6abb...718f Outcome 28792826, $5
  10. 0xf06d...510c Outcome 28792826, $5

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Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Ariane Carnelossi and Ketlen Souza at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

Fight to Go the Distance?

1h ago

$2,522 on No at 87¢

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