UFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
4 signals across 3 markets · $14,715 tracked · resolves Jun 7, 2026
This UFC Fight Night hub tracks prediction-market odds for Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza in the women’s strawweight prelims. The active market focuses on whether the fight goes over or under 2.5 rounds, with PolySpotter monitoring $7,650 in smart money and a recent profitable-whale signal on a relatively quiet market.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume MMA/sports bettor made a $2.5k concentrated No bet on an extremely quiet market, totaling about 50x the prior 24h volume.
$2,522Wallet win rate: 44%Score: 10.0 - 96% win-rate UFC sharp
Surfacing because a highly profitable 96% win-rate sports bettor is buying Ketlen Souza with a large bet relative to this market's recent volume.
$2,467Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.0 - Elite UFC sharp buys underdog
A highly profitable UFC bettor with an 87% long-run win rate is taking a fresh underdog position at 25¢.
$2,077Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 6.0 - Profitable whale on quiet market
A highly profitable wallet made a $7.6k Over bet that dwarfs this quiet UFC market’s normal volume.
$7,650Wallet win rate: 54%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa71093…23c4$7,650 · 1 market · 1 alert · 54% wins
- 0xe91171…3d4e$2,522 · 1 market · 1 alert · 44% wins
- 0xdd9d90…b730$2,467 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xdd5ef1…9040$2,077 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
FAQs
What are the Carnelossi vs. Souza prediction market odds?
This event hub tracks the live Polymarket-style odds for Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza, currently centered on the O/U 2.5 rounds market rather than just a winner market.
What outcomes are being traded for Carnelossi vs. Souza?
The child market for this event is Over/Under 2.5 rounds, so traders are betting on whether the fight lasts beyond the 2.5-round mark or ends earlier.
Is smart money betting on Carnelossi vs. Souza?
PolySpotter has tracked $7,650 in smart money across this event, including a recent signal flagged as a profitable whale entering a quiet market.
Why does a profitable whale signal matter?
A profitable whale signal means a historically successful or high-conviction trader has taken a position. It does not guarantee the result, but it can highlight where sharp money may be leaning.
When does the Carnelossi vs. Souza market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve after the UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for June 6, 2026, with resolution listed by June 7, 2026 UTC, unless the fight is canceled, postponed, or otherwise not scored under the market rules.