Part of: UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,118.

Categories: Games, Sports, UFC

Notable Trades

Whale scaling into No

A profitable high-volume trader added $2.1K to an existing $25K No position in a relatively thin market, showing continued conviction despite only modest historical edge.

  • This trader has won 61% of 821 resolved bets and is up $558K lifetime.
  • They added $2,118 to an existing $25,000 No position, reinforcing their view that the fight will not go the distance.
  • The bet represented a large share of the detected recent market activity, with No priced at 70¢.

$2,118 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0x26b4...b8a9 Outcome 41308497, $25,000 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xb8b0...2aae Outcome 41308497, $439
  3. 0x5709...747c Outcome 41308497, $191
  4. 0xb74f...acbb Outcome 41308497, $152
  5. 0xf294...d8fd Outcome 41308497, $104 (86% win rate)
  6. 0xd170...a9d9 Outcome 41308497, $81
  7. 0x9656...2113 Outcome 41308497, $22
  8. 0xc95e...a9cb Outcome 41308497, $22
  9. 0x945a...a48c Outcome 41308497, $20
  10. 0x8777...9b72 Outcome 41308497, $13

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Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Punahele Soriano and Daniil Donchenko at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

Fight to Go the Distance?

6d ago

$2,118 on No at 70¢

Related Theses