UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Main Card)
4 signals across 3 markets · $10,117 tracked · resolves Sep 6, 2026
The Polymarket event tracks the UFC Fight Night welterweight matchup between Punahele Soriano and Daniil Donchenko, with the market covering either fighter winning or a 50-50 result for a draw, No Contest, cancellation, or qualifying postponement. PolySpotter is tracking $2,251 in smart-money activity, including a signal from a trader with a 94% win rate backing Soriano.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 99% winner adds to Under
A highly profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate added a large Under position in an exceptionally thin UFC market.
$1,748Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.7 - 97% winner scales into Donchenko
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $4,000 to an existing Daniil Donchenko position at 68%.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.6 - Whale scaling into No
A profitable high-volume trader added $2.1K to an existing $25K No position in a relatively thin market, showing continued conviction despite only modest historical edge.
$2,118Wallet win rate: 62%Score: 3.4 - 94% win-rate sharp backs Soriano
A highly proven UFC-oriented bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.18M profit made a concentrated contrarian purchase of Soriano at 33 cents in a relatively thin market.
$2,251Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x823988…d9a3$4,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0xe8c4d6…395d$2,251 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x26b469…b8a9$2,118 · 1 market · 1 alert · 62% wins
- 0x1a22b5…7b00$1,748 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
FAQs
What are the Soriano vs. Donchenko odds on Polymarket?
Polymarket offers a market on whether Punahele Soriano or Daniil Donchenko wins the UFC Fight Night bout. Check the live market prices on PolySpotter for the latest implied odds.
What is the prediction market for Soriano vs. Donchenko?
The event tracks the fight's possible outcomes: a Soriano win, a Donchenko win, or a 50-50 resolution if the bout is a draw, No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond the stated deadline.
What is smart money betting on in this UFC fight?
The latest PolySpotter alert shows a trader with a 94% win rate backing Punahele Soriano. The event has recorded one smart-money signal and $2,251 in tracked smart-money activity.
When does the Soriano vs. Donchenko market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the official fight result, with a listed resolution deadline of September 6, 2026. Special rules apply if the fight is canceled or postponed beyond September 19, 2026.