Part of: LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,456.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

96% win-rate bettor buys ThunderTalk

A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and $4.0M profit made a fresh $1,885 wager on ThunderTalk at 44% amid a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 96% of 538 resolved positions and is up $4.03M lifetime.
The wallet is buying ThunderTalk at 44%, despite the market pricing the outcome near 44%—a meaningful position from a historically exceptional trader.
Market volume is running 52x its historical average, adding support that this is informed pre-event positioning.

$1,885 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner scaling into Top Esports

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $8,000 to an existing Top Esports position.

This bettor has won 50 of 52 resolved trades and is up $104,178 lifetime.
The wallet is adding $8,000 to an existing Top Esports position at 55¢, showing increased conviction.
Its average entry price is 52% against a 96% win rate, indicating a strong historical edge beyond market-implied odds.

$8,000 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp bettors scaling into Top Esports

Three wallets added nearly $20,000 to Top Esports, including two highly profitable bettors, amid a 116.9x volume spike.

A bettor with a 96% win rate across 52 resolved positions bought Top Esports at 55¢.
Another bettor with a 79% win rate and $233,291 in lifetime P&L also bought the same side.
Three wallets added $19,769 amid a 116.9x volume spike, reinforcing a coordinated Top Esports thesis.

$30,901 on Top Esports

Sharp bettor scaling into Top Esports

A highly profitable bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $10.7K to an existing Top Esports position at 54%.

This bettor wins 79% of 85 resolved positions and is up $233,291 lifetime.
They added $10,669 at 54% to an existing $19,588 Top Esports position, signaling increased conviction.
The bettor has traded 69 markets across 53 events, making this part of a substantial track record rather than an isolated wager.

$10,669 on Top Esports | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 76771779, $47,620 (94% win rate)
0xf377...4159 — Outcome 76771779, $24,641 (78% win rate)
0xc23e...98a4 — Outcome 76771779, $14,496 (96% win rate)
0xb635...bef0 — Outcome 76771779, $6,666 (55% win rate)
0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 76771779, $4,438 (65% win rate)
0xec54...e8c1 — Outcome 76771779, $2,767 (79% win rate)
0xbba9...7800 — Outcome 76771779, $2,434 (100% win rate)
0xd052...563d — Outcome 76771779, $2,281 (86% win rate)
0x1316...48a4 — Outcome 76771779, $2,000 (55% win rate)
0x8725...eb10 — Outcome 76771779, $1,816 (83% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 5 related markets

Dplus KIA wins series and games

Covers 3 related markets

Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

ResolvedLoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$51,456 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsSportsGames

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 25 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports wins 2 or more games than ThunderTalk Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Top Esports”

74¢

62¢

50¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction