Event

LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

17 signals across 4 markets · $522,062 tracked · resolves Jul 25, 2026

Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the LPL Group Ascend BO3 between Top Esports and ThunderTalk Gaming. The market trades the match winner, with recent PolySpotter signals showing sharp wallets, a 99% winner buyer, and a sharp bettor adding to Top Esports.

Markets (4)

  1. LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner5 signals · $216,815 tracked
  2. LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend6 signals · $200,032 tracked
  3. LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner2 signals · $53,759 tracked
  4. Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)4 signals · $51,456 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 19-wallet ThunderTalk buying cluster

    A large coordinated ThunderTalk position coincided with a sharp repricing, reinforced by several highly profitable bettors with strong historical edges.

    $74,649Score: 11.5
  2. 19-wallet ThunderTalk conviction cluster

    A 19-wallet coordinated position favors ThunderTalk Gaming, backed by sharp bettors and an extreme pre-event volume spike despite the market pricing them at only 32%.

    $60,560Score: 11.1
  3. Sharp bettors backing Top Esports

    A large coordinated Top Esports position combines a major volume spike with several genuinely sharp bettors, though the trade has moved sharply against them and opposing flow makes the signal less clean.

    $106,807Score: 10.9
  4. Sharp 21-wallet Top Esports cluster

    A $120,000 coordinated Top Esports position includes several highly profitable bettors with substantial historical edges, making the cluster worth following despite opposing flow.

    $131,626Score: 10.3
  5. Sharp bettors backing Top Esports

    A large coordinated Top Esports position includes several highly profitable, high-win-rate bettors, although opposing ThunderTalk flow and a sharp price collapse make the signal conflicted.

    $50,719Score: 9.9
  6. 96% winner scaling into ThunderTalk

    A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial existing ThunderTalk exposure added $4,022 at 31¢ ahead of a volume surge.

    $4,022Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 8.7
  7. Sharp bettors scaling into Top Esports

    Three wallets added nearly $20,000 to Top Esports, including two highly profitable bettors, amid a 116.9x volume spike.

    $30,901Score: 7.1
  8. 96% win-rate bettor buys ThunderTalk

    A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and $4.0M profit made a fresh $1,885 wager on ThunderTalk at 44% amid a major volume spike.

    $1,885Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 6.1
  9. 99% winner buys Top Esports

    A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial cross-market history made a fresh $1,215 bet amid an extreme volume spike.

    $1,215Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 6.0
  10. Sharp serial bettor backs Top Esports

    A highly profitable serial bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial edge bought Top Esports despite the market later falling to 62%.

    $5,000Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 5.8

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x85d53e45ee$23,969 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
  2. 0xf377b94159$15,669 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 79% wins
  3. 0xc23e3398a4$8,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
  4. 0x37243769b5$6,281 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
  5. 0xf07020ac55$5,907 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 96% wins
  6. 0x5b100d9659$3,040 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
  7. 0xc387b05a97$1,517 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
  8. 0x40ce68bf90$1,215 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
  9. 0xb70c4f34ca$1,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming odds?

Polymarket odds for the match are represented by the current prices of the Top Esports and ThunderTalk Gaming outcome contracts. Check the live event page for the latest prices and implied probabilities.

What is the Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming prediction market?

This is a Polymarket BO3 match-winner market for the LPL Group Ascend. It resolves to Top Esports or ThunderTalk Gaming based on the winner of the match.

What is smart money betting on in this match?

PolySpotter has tracked $18,892 in smart money across the event and three signals. Recent alerts point toward Top Esports, including sharp-wallet buying, a 99% winner buyer adding Top Esports, and a sharp bettor scaling into the team.

When does the Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming market resolve?

The match was scheduled for July 25 at 7:00 AM ET, with resolution expected after a winner is determined. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, the market follows its stated resolution rules.