Part of: US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech
Game Spread: Medvedev (-4.5) vs Rinderknech (+4.5)
This market will resolve to "Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins 4.5 or more total games than Arthur Rinderknech in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Rinderknech". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the match ends at a point where Daniil Medvedev could no longer have finished 4.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Rinderknech". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $38,097.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
89% win-rate bettor buys Rinderknech
A highly profitable serial trader with 899 resolved positions made a concentrated Rinderknech bet worth over 10 times the market's 24-hour volume.
- This bettor wins 89% of 899 resolved positions and is up $3.36 million lifetime.
- They spent about $29,800 buying Rinderknech, more than 10 times the market's $2,387 24-hour volume.
- The two Rinderknech entries average roughly 49¢ while the outcome is now priced near 55¢, suggesting meaningful conviction in a thin market.
$38,097 on Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 87%
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