Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,200.
Categories: Greta, Thunberg, Gaza, Israel, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
94% winner buying NO
A highly proven wallet with a 94% historical win rate bought No on a geopolitical market, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite modest size.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $74K lifetime.
- They bought No at 69¢ after Yes fell sharply over the last day.
- Their past bets beat market-implied odds by a wide margin across 693 resolved positions.
$1,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xeb75...27a3 — Yes, $18,241
- 0x131c...6816 — Yes, $7,592 (86% win rate)
- 0x5715...1616 — No, $2,619 (32% win rate)
- 0x5654...b33e — No, $2,579
- 0xa510...1f80 — Yes, $2,548
- 0xacbc...7cc3 — No, $2,027 (18% win rate)
- 0x7db2...3ce5 — Yes, $1,901 (36% win rate)
- 0x5fdf...28a2 — No, $1,730 (94% win rate)
- 0xb89f...1c44 — Yes, $1,528 (48% win rate)
- 0xd46b...5dab — No, $1,367 (52% win rate)
