This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $74K lifetime. They bought No at 69¢ after Yes fell sharply over the last day. Their past bets beat market-implied odds by a wide margin across 693 resolved positions.

Part of: Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,429.

Categories: Greta, Thunberg, Gaza, Israel, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

Proven news-market bettor

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a strong 72-bet track record and is buying No in a news-driven market where informed views are plausible.

This bettor has won 75% of 72 resolved bets and is up about $24k lifetime.
They are backing No at 65¢ on a live geopolitical news market with meaningful recent volume.
The market has moved toward Yes over the past week, so this is a sharp bettor taking the other side.

$1,229 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

94% winner buying NO

A highly proven wallet with a 94% historical win rate bought No on a geopolitical market, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite modest size.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $74K lifetime.
They bought No at 69¢ after Yes fell sharply over the last day.
Their past bets beat market-implied odds by a wide margin across 693 resolved positions.

$1,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0xeb75...27a3 — Outcome 68420615, $23,649 (68% win rate)
0x856f...d64d — Outcome 68420615, $2,556 (63% win rate)
0xf4c7...def7 — Outcome 68420615, $1,889
0x9fe8...2c91 — Outcome 68420615, $1,867 (88% win rate)
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 68420615, $1,092
0x75d1...7a5f — Outcome 40203232, $829
0x63e3...f341 — Outcome 68420615, $561 (48% win rate)
0xc2c4...c131 — Outcome 68420615, $501 (49% win rate)
0x28ab...2048 — Outcome 68420615, $500
0x8b44...63fb — Outcome 68420615, $451

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Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

ResolvedGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$2,429 tracked2 signalsGretaThunbergGazaIsraelGeopolitics

A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.