Part of: Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
This prediction market covers the Geneva Open tennis match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, scheduled for May 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 25, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,882 in smart money and 1 signal, including sharp activity around the underdog side.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,790.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Elite bettor exits underdog
Proven profitable wallet is effectively flipping away from Perricard into Tsitsipas, though the trade looks like closing an earlier position rather than fresh large conviction.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $473K lifetime.
- Selling Perricard at 31¢ is equivalent to buying Tsitsipas around 69¢.
- This appears to close a prior Perricard position, so the signal is weaker than a fresh add.
$1,009 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly active profitable sports bettor with a long cross-market track record bought Tsitsipas, and the market is now available below their entry.
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved bets and is up $146,828 lifetime.
- They have traded across 297 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought Tsitsipas at 69¢, while the market is now around 66¢.
$1,882 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 70%
Proven sharp buying underdog
A highly profitable sharp wallet with 1,079 resolved positions is buying the 31¢ underdog in a liquid tennis market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $473k lifetime.
- They are buying the 31¢ underdog, implying a ~3.2x payout if Mpetshi Perricard wins.
- The wallet has a large 1,079-bet track record, making the underdog position worth following despite the modest $1k size.
$1,000 on Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Wallet win rate: 78%
89% sharp backs underdog
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 89% win rate and nearly $919k lifetime profit is buying the underdog at 29¢.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $919k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 50 events with the same 89% win rate.
- Buying Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard at 29¢ suggests they see value in the underdog despite the market pricing him at 28%.
$3,480 on Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 69% win rate and $305k lifetime P&L is taking the underdog in a liquid Geneva Open match.
- This bettor wins 69% of resolved trades and is up $305k lifetime.
- They have traded across 94 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy.
- They bought the underdog at 29¢, a price that pays about 3.4x if it wins.
$1,450 on Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable bettor on quiet market
A profitable high-volume wallet placed a bet over 3x the market's 24h volume on a quiet tennis market, suggesting conviction despite the low composite score.
- This bettor is up $174K lifetime across 180 resolved trades.
- The $8K buy is more than 3x this market’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 69¢ suggests a confident favorite bet in a thin tennis market.
$7,969 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 20427886, $22,532 (72% win rate)
- 0x6f8b...01aa — Outcome 20427886, $21,000 (39% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 20427886, $12,927 (89% win rate)
- 0x1733...dc80 — Outcome 20427886, $10,182 (41% win rate)
- 0xb184...b6c6 — Outcome 20427886, $9,063 (87% win rate)
- 0x893b...b1b4 — Outcome 20427886, $8,091 (20% win rate)
- 0xec8d...dd71 — Outcome 20427886, $5,199 (69% win rate)
- 0x363c...4463 — Outcome 20427886, $5,023 (42% win rate)
- 0xfb85...8464 — Outcome 20427886, $4,092 (78% win rate)
- 0x4538...7d5c — Outcome 20427886, $2,960 (60% win rate)
