Part of: Genius FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?
This Polymarket asks whether the official Genius token will have a fully diluted valuation above $100 million one day after launch. The market only counts an actively tradable official Genius token and excludes stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens. It resolves by January 1, 2028, with outcome based on the token’s total supply multiplied by its price one day after launch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Genius's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Genius will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Genius (https://x.com/GeniusTerminal) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,740.
Categories: Crypto, genius, fdv, Pre-Market
Notable Trades
81% win-rate bettor
A profitable wallet with an 81% win rate put nearly $4.7k into Yes around 74-75¢ on a moderately active market, making this a modest but followable sharp-bettor signal.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $34.4k overall.
- They bought nearly $4.7k of Yes at 74-75¢, adding meaningful size versus roughly $5.7k recent volume.
- The market has been drifting up, and their entry implies they still see value below 75¢.
$4,681 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
91% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a 91% win rate across 75 resolved markets is buying Yes here, making this small trade worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved markets with 68 wins and $16.4k profit
- They have traded 56 markets across 29 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Yes at 72¢, implying they still see value even with the market already pricing this outcome as likely
$1,058 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
