Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Genius's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Genius will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Genius (https://x.com/GeniusTerminal) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,058.
Notable Trades
91% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a 91% win rate across 75 resolved markets is buying Yes here, making this small trade worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved markets with 68 wins and $16.4k profit
- They have traded 56 markets across 29 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Yes at 72¢, implying they still see value even with the market already pricing this outcome as likely
$1,058 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xfe6c...69b7 — No, $7,382 (63% win rate)
- 0x9f2a...3706 — No, $5,442 (67% win rate)
- 0x5d82...d90a — Yes, $5,002 (75% win rate)
- 0x3594...0533 — Yes, $2,121
- 0xcc1c...3439 — Yes, $2,000
- 0x1e30...d732 — Yes, $2,000
- 0x3a70...2828 — Yes, $1,992 (86% win rate)
- 0xa948...f202 — No, $1,894
- 0x66ad...cc4e — Yes, $1,470 (91% win rate)
- 0xbb9f...557b — No, $925
