Part of: Genius FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?
This Polymarket asks whether an official Genius token will have a fully diluted valuation above $200 million one day after launch. It resolves to Yes if the token is publicly tradable and its total supply multiplied by price exceeds $200 million at that one-day mark; otherwise it resolves to No. The market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028, and current smart money activity is modest but includes recent whale buying on the Yes side.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,936.
Categories: Crypto, genius, fdv, Pre-Market
Notable Trades
3-wallet breakout buyers
Three wallets piled into Yes as this market broke far above its prior range, including a brand-new wallet sizing aggressively into a fast move.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $6.3k as Yes jumped from its old 40-59¢ range to 91¢
- One wallet was only 9 minutes old and already put in $4.1k across repeated buys
- This market is moving fast, up 47.8% in a day, and the coordinated flow helped push price higher
$6,311 on Yes
New whale early on Yes
A brand-new wallet deployed $6.7k across two buys on the same crypto launch market at 29-43¢, and the price has already moved up to 49%, suggesting early conviction from a fresh bettor.
- A wallet just 11 minutes old put $6.7k into this market across two buys
- They bought Yes at 29¢ and 43¢, and the market is already up to 49%
- The bet size is meaningful versus roughly $10.9k of liquidity, so this was a real conviction entry
$6,655 on Yes
New whale pressing thesis
A 4-hour-old wallet has already made multiple sizable bets across this event, suggesting fresh conviction rather than routine flow.
- This 4-hour-old wallet has already been flagged 3 times with about $6.3k in bets, which is unusual for a brand-new account
- The bettor is buying Yes around 40¢ while the market sits near 37¢, showing conviction even after already sizing into this event
- The market is reasonably active but not huge, so a roughly $2k buy is still meaningful relative to recent volume
$1,970 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x05fd...50c9 — Outcome 40644945, $5,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x8da2...ab27 — Outcome 40644945, $4,000
- 0x7a61...af24 — Outcome 40644945, $3,376
- 0x7cea...cc13 — Outcome 40644945, $2,333 (23% win rate)
- 0x9b85...cd3a — Outcome 40644945, $2,062
- 0x62f5...453f — Outcome 40644945, $2,000
- 0x4bb4...a353 — Outcome 87861360, $1,089
- 0xa948...f202 — Outcome 40644945, $1,078
- 0xda57...e628 — Outcome 40644945, $1,002
- 0xc127...ee33 — Outcome 40644945, $1,000
