Part of: Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by...?

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features, beta versions, or subnational regional variants, will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Google Maps (maps.google.com) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,608.

Categories: Trump, Canada, Business, Politics, US Canada Trade War

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Yes cluster before breakout

Three wallets bought Yes around 65-69 cents before a sharp move to 100%, though the modest cluster and mixed wallet quality limit its copyability now.

  • Three wallets bought Yes for about $4,940 at 65-69 cents before the market surged to 100%.
  • One bettor has a strong 78% win rate across 1,031 resolved trades and is up nearly $50,000.
  • The opportunity has largely passed: Yes is now priced at 100%, while another participating wallet is down $183,000 overall.

$4,940 on Yes

Serial cross-market winner adds to Yes

A proven 78% winner with nearly $50,000 in lifetime profit is adding to an existing Yes position at 65¢ after trading across 30 events.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 1,021 resolved trades and is up nearly $50,000.
  • They are adding to an existing Yes position, raising total investment to over $4,700.
  • The 65¢ entry implies they see meaningful value despite the market already pricing Yes at 66%.

$1,455 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

93% win-rate serial trader adds No

A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate is adding $5,596 to an existing No position.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 98 resolved trades and earned about $79,000.
  • They are adding $5,596 to an existing No position worth $17,432, showing continued conviction.
  • The trader has participated across 40 events and 56 markets, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.

$5,596 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

93% winner scaling into No

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 93% win rate is adding to a $15,000 No position at 30 cents.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 98 resolved trades and is up $79,393 lifetime.
  • They are adding to an existing No position, bringing total investment to nearly $15,000.
  • The No position was entered at 30¢, below the current 32¢ market price.

$3,618 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x85a8...9281 — No, $20,432 (92% win rate)
  2. 0xd397...9d09 — No, $7,172 (92% win rate)
  3. 0xa676...1c22 — No, $2,000 (44% win rate)
  4. 0x64b4...74d4 — No, $1,500 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x47ae...ee94 — No, $1,127 (75% win rate)
  6. 0x9c09...1ba5 — No, $925 (35% win rate)
  7. 0x5464...af99 — No, $800 (44% win rate)
  8. 0xf021...df56 — No, $528
  9. 0xf5d1...67cc — No, $400
  10. 0x503a...860a — No, $375 (44% win rate)

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Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by...?$15,608 tracked4 signalsTrumpCanadaBusinessPoliticsUS Canada Trade War
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features, beta versions, or subnational regional variants, will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Google Maps (maps.google.com) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?

2026-08-30 10:20 UTC

$4,940 on Yes at 67¢

67¢→100¢↑33¢

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?

2026-08-29 14:09 UTC

$1,455 on Yes at 65¢

65¢→100¢↑35¢

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?

2026-08-29 11:40 UTC

$5,596 on No at 51¢

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?

2026-08-29 10:12 UTC

$3,618 on No at 30¢

Related Theses