Part of: Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,430.
Categories: Hezbollah, Lebanon, Middle East, Geopolitics, Israel
Notable Trades
87% winner buying NO
Despite a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has an 87% resolved-bet win rate across 1,050 bets and is profitable lifetime.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets across 1,050 markets and is up $12,085 lifetime.
- They bought No at 85¢ on a geopolitical market where informed views are plausible.
- The position is already moving their way, with No now around 88¢ after entry.
$1,430 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0xd83c...19dc — No, $3,678 (87% win rate)
- 0x4da6...e999 — Yes, $1,271
- 0x165e...f5aa — No, $1,227 (76% win rate)
- 0x28aa...8f75 — Yes, $1,046 (65% win rate)
- 0x725b...27e8 — Yes, $1,000
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $800 (47% win rate)
- 0xa0db...56d5 — No, $653 (74% win rate)
- 0x4934...5951 — Yes, $625
- 0xc63a...26a0 — Yes, $608
- 0xf86f...256f — Yes, $600 (43% win rate)
Related Theses
Bitcoin stays rangebound in May
Covers 4 related markets
