Part of: Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,262.

Categories: Trump, Fed, Politics, Fed Chair

Notable Trades

3-wallet macro pile-in

Three experienced wallets piled into Yes as this Fed Chair market ripped 30 points higher, a meaningful coordinated move in a relatively thin book.

  • Three wallets bought the same side for $7.6k as Yes jumped about 30 points in one burst.
  • Two of the wallets have traded 1,000+ resolved markets and are solidly profitable, including one up $274k lifetime.
  • The order book is thin for this size, with only $9.4k liquidity and a 13-point spread, so this buying showed real conviction.

$7,570 on Yes

New wallet pressing NO

A very new wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets on this market and is already up on a fresh $1.7k No position entered before the odds moved sharply in its favor.

  • A new wallet has been flagged 3 times already, with about $5.7k of bets and another $1.7k added here
  • This buy came at 60¢ and the market is now 70¢ No, so the bettor caught a fast 10-point move
  • The market dropped 32 points in a day, and this wallet is adding to the winning side rather than taking profits

$1,693 on No | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb521...18f6 — Outcome 39601666, $11,746
  2. 0x7de7...a9c8 — Outcome 39601666, $8,049 (57% win rate)
  3. 0x7a61...af24 — Outcome 39601666, $6,036
  4. 0x34ab...3eb5 — Outcome 39601666, $6,031 (34% win rate)
  5. 0x0037...be55 — Outcome 39601666, $5,321 (31% win rate)
  6. 0xc4c3...2e3f — Outcome 39601666, $5,272 (43% win rate)
  7. 0xcb50...8cba — Outcome 39601666, $4,910
  8. 0x83e8...7b89 — Outcome 39601666, $4,161 (55% win rate)
  9. 0xf95b...14ec — Outcome 39601666, $3,607
  10. 0x7bb2...682c — Outcome 39601666, $3,000 (67% win rate)

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

ResolvedKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?$9,262 tracked2 signalsTrumpFedPoliticsFed Chair

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Yes”
102¢
94¢
87¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

36d ago

$7,570 on Yes at 56¢

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

45d ago

$1,693 on No at 60¢